Average Of National Polls Shows Bush Ahead 48% To 46%
Polls out on election day continue to show a maddeningly close race for the presidency, with results ranging from a two-point lead for Sen. Kerry (Fox News) to a four-point edge for President Bush (Harris Poll telephone survey). According to CNN, an average of the "eight most recent national surveys" shows Bush is "getting 48 percent to Kerry's 46 percent. The poll of polls has been showing a tight race throughout the final stretch of this campaign." The Washington Times says of 11 major national polls "completed by Saturday or Sunday, Mr. Bush leads in seven, is tied with Mr. Kerry in two and trails in the remaining two. However, the president is over 50 percent in only one of the latest polls, with the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey showing him with 51 percent to Mr. Kerry's 48 percent."
Kerry Leads Bush By Two Points In Fox News Poll.
A Fox News poll of 1400 registered voters, including 1200 likely voters, conducted over October 30-31, shows 48% of likely voters would vote for John Kerry; 46% would vote for George W. Bush; 1% would vote for Ralph Nader; 5% were not sure. In a two-way race, 48% would vote for Kerry; 46% would vote for Bush; and 6% were not sure.
Marist Poll Shows Kerry Ahead By One. CNN's Inside Politics reported the final Marist national poll of likely voters also "points to a squeaker, with Kerry ahead of Bush by just one point [50%-49%]."
Bush Has One-Point Lead In Final ABC Tracking Poll. ABC World News Tonight reported on its "final tracking poll," which "still reflects a dead-even contest [with 49% voting for Bush and 48% voting for Kerry], with a 2% margin of error. Ralph Nader is still getting 1%."
Bush Has One Point Lead In CBS News Poll. CBS Evening News, meanwhile, said a "CBS News poll out tonight indicates President Bush may have a one-point [47%-46%] lead nationwide over Senator Kerry among likely voters, within the poll's margin of error."
Bush Has One Point Lead In Reuters/Zogby Poll. Reuters says Bush "edged into a one-point national lead on Democratic Sen. John Kerry, and the White House rivals were deadlocked in the key state of Florida on the eve of the presidential election, according to Reuters/Zogby polls released on Monday." In the "final Reuters/Zogby polls before Tuesday's voting, Bush led Kerry 48-47 percent in the three-day national tracking poll, well within the margin of error."
With Leaners, Bush Leads By Three In Final Battleground Poll.
A George Washington University poll of 1000 likely voters, conducted over October 31-November 1 by The Tarrance Group and Lake Snell Perry, shows 47% would vote for George W. Bush; 41% would vote for John Kerry; 1% would vote for Ralph Nader; 1% would vote for another candidate; 11% were unsure. With leaners, 49% would vote for Bush; 46% would vote for Kerry; 1% would vote for Ralph Nader; 1% would vote for another candidate; 4% were undecided. 52% approve of "the job George W. Bush has been doing"; 45% disapprove; 3% were unsure.
Bush Up Two Points In Rasmussen Poll.
The latest Rasmussen automated tracking poll finds Bush with 49% to Kerry's 47%.
With Undecideds Allocated, Bush Leads Kerry By Two In Final TIPP Poll.
The final TIPP tracking poll of 1041 likely voters, conducted over October 31-November 1 shows 48.6% of likely voters would vote for George W. Bush; 45.3% would vote for John Kerry; .9% would vote for Ralph Nader; 4.4% were undecided. With undecided voters allocated to the candidates, 50.1% would vote for George W. Bush; 48% would vote for John Kerry; 1.1% would vote for Ralph Nader; .8% would vote for another candidate.
Bush Leads 49%-45% In Harris Telephone Poll, Trails By Two In Online Poll.
The Wall Street Journal says a "new Harris Interactive telephone poll. . .shows Mr. Bush ahead by four percentage points in a telephone survey of likely voters, but the outcome is reversed in Harris's new online poll, which has Mr. Kerry leading by two points." In the Harris telephone poll of 1092 likely voters, conducted over October 29-31. . .49% would vote for President Bush and Vice President Cheney; 45% would vote for John Kerry and John Edwards; 2% would vote for Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo; 4% would vote for other/not sure. In the Harris online poll of 3926 likely voters. . .conducted over October 29-31, shows 49% would vote for Kerry and Edwards; 47% would vote for Bush and Cheney; 1% would vote for Nader and Camejo; 4% would vote for other/not sure."