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Tuesday, May 21, 2013
Election 2004

11/1/04 9:00 AM EST
Bush Has One Point Lead Among Likely Voters In NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll

NBC Nightly News reported on "the latest, just-completed NBC News/'Wall Street Journal' poll," showing "a dead heat; George Bush, 48% John Kerry, 47% Ralph Nader, 1%."

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Bush Has One Point Lead Over Kerry In Rasmussen Poll.
The latest Rasmussen automated tracking poll shows 48% would vote for Bush, while 47% would vote for Kerry.

Bush Leads Kerry By Three Points IN CBS/NYT Poll.
The New York Times reports on the "final New York Times/CBS News Poll of the 2004 campaign." It shows "that Mr. Bush and his opponent, Senator John Kerry, remain locked in a statistical tie as they head into the final 48 hours of the race. But the poll registered an increase in Mr. Bush's job approval rating, as well as an increase in the number of Americans who said the nation was heading in the right direction." The President "has 49 percent, compared with 46 percent for Mr. Kerry." Bush's "job approval rating has risen to 49 percent from 44 percent two weeks ago."

Bush Leads Kerry By Three Points In Pew Research Center Poll.
The New York Times also reports, "A three-point advantage for Mr. Bush was measured in the Pew Research Poll as well as the New York Times/CBS News poll. Mr. Bush had 48 percent in the Pew Poll, conducted Wednesday through Saturday with 1,925 likely voters, while Mr. Kerry had 45 percent and Mr. Nader 1 percent. When undecided voters are allocated, Mr. Bush has the support of 51 percent compared with 48 percent for Mr. Kerry."

Bush Up One In Zogby Poll, But Pollster Says Kerry Will Win.
Reuters reports President "Bush edged into a one-point national lead over Democratic Sen. John Kerry one day before a cliffhanger presidential election, according to a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Monday." Bush "led Kerry 48-47 percent in the latest three-day national tracking poll, well within the margin of error, setting up a tense final day in an extraordinarily close race for the White House."

Pollster John Zogby tells the Christian Science Monitor , "Months ago I said I thought John Kerry would win. ... I am still sticking with [that prediction]. ... The president is not polling good numbers for an incumbent [and] on four of the top five issues, Kerry leads by double digits." In an op-ed in the Financial Times , Zogby adds, "My hunch is still that the few undecided voters will break against the incumbent, as they usually do. The late trend is toward Mr Kerry and there are a number of doomsday scenarios: Another popular vote win and electoral college loss, a tie in the electoral college or no clear winner on election day."

Bush Has Six Point Lead In Newsweek Poll.
Newsweek says "the final Newsweek Poll before Tuesday's vote" shows Bush with "a four-point lead over Kerry among registered voters (48-44) and a six-point lead among likely voters (50-44). The good news for Bush is that independent voters are now leaning toward him by a margin of nine points. The bad news is that he is still in the danger zone for an incumbent, unable to break through the 50-point mark."

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