Bush Leads ABC, Pew, Zogby Polls; Candidates Tied In CBS Survey
Despite the general perception that Sen. Kerry has the momentum following his strong performance in the first presidential debate, new polls out this morning show President Bush largely maintaining his pre-debate lead. The exception is the CBS poll, which finds the candidates deadlocked in a 47%-47% tie. The Washington Times says Bush strategists are "heartened" by the new surveys, though they "tried to appear stoic about the new numbers. . . . 'We don't dance in the end zone, and we don't cry in our beer,' said Matthew Dowd, chief strategist for the Bush campaign." Contrary to yesterday's local TV and morning radio, which was saturated with coverage of the Newsweek poll showing Kerry ahead by two points, the new surveys are being largely ignored outside of print media.
Bush Ahead By Five Points In ABC/WPost Poll.
The Washington Post reports on a new ABC News/WPost poll in which Bush "continues to lead. . .Kerry among likely voters despite surging enthusiasm for Kerry among Democrats and new doubts about whether the president has a clear plan to deal with terrorism and the situation in Iraq, according to a Washington Post tracking poll. In the aftermath of last week's debate, Bush leads Kerry 51 percent to 46 percent among those most likely to vote, according to polling conducted Friday through Sunday." Independent candidate Ralph Nader "claims 1 percent of the hypothetical vote." Bush held a six-point lead in the previous ABC poll.
Bush Up Five In New Pew Poll
. A new Pew Research Survey, says the AP, found "the Republican incumbent has a slight lead over Kerry 49 percent to 44 percent among likely voters." Commenting on these results, Morton Kondracke said on Fox News' Special Report that "Bush gained even though Kerry's favorables went up. The voters thought that Kerry won the debate. And yet, on the strong leader mark, Bush gained three points. On honest and truthful, he gained six points. Good in a crisis, he gained three points." Bush held an eight-point lead in the previous Pew poll.
Bush Leads By Three-Points In Zogby Poll.
A Zogby International poll of 1036 likely voters (+/- 3.1%), conducted over October 1-3, shows 46% would vote for George W. Bush; 43% would vote for John Kerry; 2.4% would vote for Ralph Nader; 0.6% would vote for Libertarian Michael Badnarik; 0.2% would vote for Constitution Party candidate Michael Peroutka; 0.3% would vote for another candidate; 8% were undecided. 59% said John Kerry "won the first presidential debate" on Thursday; 21% said Bush did. In a match-up without third-party candidates, Bush led by one point, 46%-45%.
Bush Up 49%-46% In Rasmussen Poll.
The latest Rasmussen automated presidential tracking poll "shows President George W. Bush with 49% of the vote and Senator John Kerry with 46%." These results are "based upon a survey of 3,000 likely voters conducted since Thursday night's debate. Overall, they show that Senator Kerry has gained one percentage point so far from the debate."
CBS Poll Tied 47%-47%.
CBS Evening News reported on the new CBS News/'New York Times' poll of likely voters, which "indicates a big improvement for Kerry. He's now at 47%, dead even with the President." However, "despite his debate performance, our new CBS News/'New York Times' poll found President Bush still with a clear advantage on leadership and protecting America from terrorism."