Before Bush Speech, President Led Zogby, Rasmussen Polls
Republicans are leaving New York feeling optimistic about the success of their convention. Even before Bush delivered his acceptance speech, a new Zogby America poll of 1001 likely voters, conducted over August 30-September 2 (+/- 3.2%), showed 46% would vote for Bush and Cheney; 44% would vote for Kerry and Edwards and 9% were undecided. The previous Zogby poll had shown Kerry leading by four points. In addition, a Rasmussen tracking poll of 1,000 likely voters over August 30-31 and September 1, shows Bush leading 49%-45%. Appearing on Fox News' O'Reilly Factor, former Bill Clinton advisor Dick Morris predicted that after his speech "Bush is going to be up - 52-44 or 53-43." Morris attributed the boost to strong speeches by Rudy Giuliani, which he characterized as "great," and Laura Bush, who "feminized his campaign."
Favorability Ratings Favored GOP Guests, Republicans Say.
The Democrats may have had the advantage in recruiting Hollywood celebs at their convention, but the Republicans have had the foremost political figures at least in terms of their favorability ratings at their gathering in NY. Republican insiders told US News Bulletin that they have used private Republican polls and other public polls to create ratings of public figures; that is, these people score the highest when a poll asks "Do you have a favorable impression of ?" According to these rankings, First Lady Laura Bush is number one in public esteem, followed by John McCain, Rudy Giuliani and Arnold Schwarzenegger. All four spoke during the first two days of the GOP convention in an effort to enhance the party's image. Interestingly, all of the above outrank the actual candidates: It turns out that Democratic vice-presidential nominee John Edwards is fifth on the list, President Bush is sixth and his opponent John Kerry is eighth.