Bush Leads Kerry By 25 Points Among Undecided Voters In Zogby Poll
A Zogby International/Williams Institute interactive poll of 19,033 likely voters (+/- .07%), including 501 undecided likely voters and those most likely to change their mind (+/- 4.5%), was conducted over August 11-24, and it shows 35% of undecided likely voters would vote for George W. Bush; 10% would vote for John Kerry; 8% would vote for Libertarian Michael Bednarik; 4% would vote for Ralph Nader; 4% would vote for Constitution Party candidate Michael Peroutka; .2% would vote for Green Party candidate David Cobb; and 38% were undecided.
52% Of Undecideds Dislike Kerry "As A Person."
According to the poll, one reason for Kerry's poor showing with this small segment was that 16% of the undecided likely voters said they liked Kerry "as a person," while 52% disliked him and 32% were, as to be expected, undecided.
Dowd Says Undecideds "Older," "Moderate And Conservative." USA Today this morning runs an interview with Bush campaign manager Ken Mehlman and Bush strategist Matthew Dowd. Dowd said there are "3 or 4%" of voters "that are truly undecided. . . . They are moderate and conservative. There's no liberal undecided voters. They are older. They are middle income. And their judgment on Kerry's favorable rating vs. Bush's favorable rating are dead even. There are a larger share of undecided voters who go to church frequently than are in the general population."
Bush Has Clear Lead In "Presidential Futures" Market.
Meanwhile, according to Reuters , investors trading presidential futures do not believe the race will be "nearly so close" as the current polls indicate. Trading in the Iowa Electronic Markets "showed Bush pulling ahead of his rival, Democratic Sen. John Kerry, with a 54.8 percent probability of victory, compared to a 45.4 percent for Kerry."