Bush Pulls Ahead In LATimes Poll For First Time This Year, Drawing 15% Of Democrats
The Los Angeles Times this morning reports on its new poll, noting that the President "heads into next week's Republican national convention with voters moving slightly in his direction since July amid signs that John F. Kerry has been nicked by attacks on his service in Vietnam, a Los Angeles Times Poll has found. For the first time this year in a Times survey, Bush led Kerry in the presidential race, drawing 49 percent among registered voters, compared to 46 percent for the Democrat. In a Times Poll just before the Democratic convention last month, Kerry held a 2 percentage point advantage over Bush." Bush's advantage "remained 3 percentage points when independent candidate Ralph Nader was added to the mix. In a three-way race, Bush drew 47 percent, compared to 44 percent for Kerry and 3 percent for Nader, whose access to the ballot in many key states remains uncertain." While "just 3 percent of voters who called themselves Republicans said they would vote for Kerry, Bush drew 15 percent of all Democrats, and 20 percent of Democrats who consider themselves moderate or conservative, the poll found."
Rove Says Bush In Good Shape For Reelection.
Karl Rove last night appeared on Fox News' Special Report, where he noted that latest Gallup poll "shows the president's job approval at 51. By comparison, at the same time in August of 1996 in the Gallup poll, Clinton's was 52. And in August of 1984, Ronald Reagan's was 54. So, I mean, this president's job approval rating is within spitting distance of two men who won big re-elections." Rove added, "No Democrat, no challenger has ever beaten an incumbent president unless they came out of their convention with a big lead. Carter in 1976 had a 31-point lead over Gerald Ford, went on to win a narrow victory. Ronald Reagan had a 16-point lead over Jimmy Carter in 1980. Clinton had a 22-point lead over the senior Bush, Bush 41, in 1992. After the Democratic convention, the Gallup poll goes out and Kerry is behind. It's going to be a close race. No doubt about it. But this president is in good shape to win a strong victory this fall."