Kerry Gets No Bounce, Tied With Bush In Marist Poll
A Marist College Institute of Public Opinion poll of 1,075 adults (+/-3.5%), including 839 registered voters (+/-3.5%) and 573 likely voters (+/-4%) shows 47% of likely voters would vote for Kerry-Edwards; 47% would vote for Bush-Cheney; 1% would vote for Nader-Camejo; 5% were undecided. In Marist's July survey, 47% of likely voters would vote for Kerry-Edwards; 46% would vote for Bush-Cheney; 1% would vote for Nader-Camejo; 6% were undecided.
Kerry Gets Bounce In New Jersey Poll.
A Quinnipiac University poll of 996 registered New Jersey voters (+/-3.1%) taken 7/30-8/2 has John Kerry leading George Bush 49%-36% with Ralph Nader pulling 6%. In a similar survey released June 23, Kerry led Bush 46%-40% with Nader at 7%. In a two-way race, Kerry leads Bush 52%-38%.
Three Of Four Wartime Presidents Have Won Reelection.
Ross K. Baker, a political science professor at Rutgers University, writes in the Wall Street Journal, "President Bush can take some comfort from the fact that some of his illustrious predecessors faced a re-election campaign with the outcome of a war in doubt. He may even hope that a dramatic reversal of military fortunes before Nov. 2. . .will convince skeptical voters that the Iraq war was worthwhile. But even without a spectacular pre-election triumph, a beleaguered Bush will have the advantage that goes with the title commander in chief. Wartime presidents seeking re-election are batting three for four. . . . The one notable exception to American voters sticking with a president in a war that was going badly was, of course, Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968. It is important to note, however, that Johnson gave up before the American people had the chance to give up on him."