Kerry's Lack Of Bounce In Some Polls Puzzles Analysts
USA Today reports there "was a bounce after last week's Democratic National Convention. But it went to President Bush, not John Kerry." Pollsters and strategists "are puzzling over Kerry's failure to get a boost from a convention that even critics acknowledged went almost precisely as planned. Polls show it improved voters' impressions of Kerry as a strong leader and a potential commander in chief. It burnished views of the Democratic Party." Still, in the USA Today/CNN/Gallup Poll "taken Friday through Sunday, Kerry's support dipped 2 percentage points among likely voters compared with a poll taken the week before the convention. Bush's standing rose 5 percentage points." Political analyst William Schneider said on CNN, "This is the first Democratic convention since 1972 that did not give the nominee any boost in the polls. That was the year when everything went wrong for George McGovern." Schneider added, "The number of Democrats who said they were more enthusiastic than usual about voting this year jumped six points, from 70% before the convention to 76% afterwards. But Republicans were even more energized by what they saw in Boston 11 points up."
ABC reported on its evening news that Kerry's convention "bounce" was "not much, according to an ABC News/Washington Post poll. It shows Senator Kerry with 49% and President Bush with 47% of likely voters." The Washington Post adds, "By historical standards, Kerry's post-convention bounce is modest, at best a fact that set off a debate between the candidates' campaign advisers. The Bush team said Kerry's failure to gain more significant ground from his national convention puts him at a serious disadvantage for the fall, while Kerry advisers said the electorate is already so polarized and partisans so energized that there was far less chance for a big bounce this year."