Bush Leads Kerry In Electoral College 217-193, But Polls Show Race Even
The AP reports that John Kerry "narrowly trails President Bush in the battle for the 270 electoral votes needed to win the White House." Kerry "has 14 states and the District of Columbia in his column for 193 electoral votes. Bush has 25 states for 217 votes, according to an Associated Press analysis of state polls as well as interviews with strategists across the country."
National polls taken just prior to the Democratic Convention, however, show the presidential race far too close to call.
Fox Newsreports its latest poll has Bush with 43%, Kerry at 42% and Nader at 4%. A new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows 47% for Bush, 45% for Kerry and 2% said they plan to vote for Nader. Time magazine's survey released this week shows Kerry with 46%, Bush with 43%, and Nader with 5%. The latest Los Angeles Times poll shows 46% would vote for Kerry, 44% would vote for Bush, and 3% would vote for Nader.USA Today reports its pre-convention survey finds Kerry is at 47% among likely voters, Bush at 46% and Nader at 4%.
Polls in some of the key states released this weekend also find a close race.USA Today reports this morning that its new statewide polls show Kerry "is ahead by 5 points among likely voters in Ohio"; Bush "is now ahead by 4 points" in Florida; and Missouri, "the nation's most reliable bellwether, is even."
The Des Moines Register reports its new poll shows Bush captures the support of 46% of Iowans, while Kerry is favored by 45%.
The St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports its latest poll among the likely Missouri voters shows 47% for Kerry, 45% for Bush, 2% for Nader.
A new ARG poll of 600 likely New Hampshire voters has Kerry leading 47% to 45%, with Nader at 5%.
An ARG survey of 600 likely Oregon voters has Kerry leading Bush 50% to 42%, with Nader at 4%.
An ARG poll of 600 likely Ohio voters has Kerry leading 47% to 45%, while Nader garners 3%.
A Los Angeles Times Pennsylvania poll of 815 registered voters shows 48% would vote for Kerry, 38% would vote for Bush, and 5% would vote for Nader.
A Los Angeles Times Florida poll of 729 registered voters shows 45% would vote for Bush, 44% for Kerry, and 2% for Nader.Meanwhile, the Tampa Tribune reports the latest Mason-Dixon poll of Florida voters shows Bush with 48%, Kerry with 46% and Nader with 2%.