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By Michael Barone
Tuesday, August 15
"No, I haven't." So said Gore campaign chairman William Daley, with some
asperity, when asked by U.S. News Monday afternoon at 2:30 whether he had
seen the draft of Bill Clinton's speech, scheduled for delivery at 10:15
p.m.. The speech, Daley said, had been finished at 4 Saturday morning and
Clinton had canceled caucuses and television appearances to practice it. In
other words, this last major political speech Bill Clinton would deliver as
president was a typical Clinton productionlots of last-minute
improvisation, a certain lack of orderly coordination, an arrival on the
podium later than scheduled, additional embellishments that became more
frequent as the president neared the end of his speech text. And it was,
with a few exceptions, all about me.
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Clinton waves to convention attendees. (Scott Goldsmith for USN&WR)
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What Al Gore's strategists wanted more than anything else was a speech
that made the case that Clinton-Gore policies are responsible for the
extended prosperity of the 1990s and electing Al Gore and Joe Lieberman is
necessary to continue it. And, in a few paragraphs, Clinton uttered words
that seemed to do that. But effective politics is communicated in poetry,
not prose. And the poetry of Bill and Hillary Rodham Clinton's evening was
the poetry of the 1992 campaign. In her speech, delivered with
discomfitting hesitation in her flat Midwestern accent, the first lady
described movingly people the Clinton-Gore team encountered on their
enthusiastically received joint bus tour: "the faces of despairfathers
out of work, mothers trapped on welfare, children with unmet medical
needs." The Bill Clinton movie, well edited with great montage, was most
vivid when it showed scenes from the 1992 Clinton campaign train. And
Clinton's speech was most animated when it focused on the spirit of 1992.
The problem is that the spirit of 1992 seems to be far more important to
the Clintons than it is to the voters. The Clintons talked of how America
was in misery in 1992, in the same tones Democratic orators used to
describe the 1930s in conventions 20 years later. But in fact the recession
of 1990-91 lasted only two quarters and was over by 1992. For the other 16
1/2 of the last 17 years, the American economy has had low-inflation
economic growth. In the 1992 election there was a contrast between the two
active young men on the Democratic ticket and a seemingly tired,
out-of-ideas 68-year-old Republican president. But that contrast is only a
dim memory to most voters this year. The Clintons' poetry is intended to
bring that moment back. But even if it does, it helps Al Gore only
marginally against George W. Bush.
Much of the Clinton speech was a laundry list of programs and
initiativesthe sort of "little things" that helped him win re-election in
1996. Political consultants tell their clients to emphasize just two or
three issues when they want those specific issues to be remembered; they
tell them to mention many issues when they don't want particular issues
emphasized but want to convey an image of energy and activity. But such
images are personal and don't transfer automatically to heirs apparent. Al
Gore's strengths are more on the order of hard work and intensity.
Clinton's few paragraphs testifying to Gore's character and ability were
well phrased and probably effective, but there was no connection between
them and the Clintonian energy that was the message of most of the speech.
After one night of a four-night convention, Al Gore still has to define
himself in ways that will make him competitive with George W. Bush.
Toward the end of his speech, Clinton talked about the dangers that might
loom if people made the wrong choices. But his comparison was a strange
one. He dwelled on 1964, the year he graduated from high school, when "I
assumed, like most Americans, that our economy was on automaticnothing
could derail it." Then came the disasters of urban riots, assassinations of
major figures, the Vietnam War. The problem is that these disasters came
after voters returned the same party, the Democratic Party, to office in
1964. They show not the dangers an untested opposition could make if voters
put it in after the other party had great successes, but the dangers a
party in power, and his own party at that, could make. If it is an argument
for voting for anyone, it is an argument for voting for the candidate
Hillary Rodham, as she then was, backed in 1964, Barry Goldwater. It was
not much of an argument for Al Gore.
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