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Tuesday, May 29, 2012

February 22, 2007

Terrorism Index Up; al Qaeda Rebuilds–Depressed Yet?

The second Terrorism Index was released February 13 and didn't get much press outside the blogosphere. This twice-annual survey takes stock of the war on terrorism by polling "more than 100 of America's top foreign-policy hands." No surprises here: These sage minds conclude that we're losing–and that things are getting worse, not better.

chart

The project is sponsored by Foreign Policy magazine and the liberal Center for American Progress, who say they've sampled a balanced list of Dems and GOPers, of whom 80 percent have served in the U.S. government–in the executive branch, the military, and intelligence. (The full list of respondents is in the report.) Here are some highlights:

  • Seventy percent say President Bush has no clear plan to protect America from terrorism;
  • Seventy-five percent believe the United States is losing the war on terrorism;
  • Eighty-one percent say the world is becoming more dangerous for Americans;
  • Over 80 percent expect a 9/11-scale terrorist attack within a decade;
  • Eighty-seven percent say that U.S. public diplomacy–the war for hearts and minds–is failing.

If that's not depressing enough for you, a couple of recent stories describe how al Qaeda is on the mend. We're talking about al Qaeda Classic here–the core group holed up in the badlands of the Afghan-Pakistan border–which the White House takes credit for having crippled. Indeed, the busting up of al Qaeda's command and control has been one of the few success stories of the war on terrorism.

Well, maybe not. Turns out that Iraq has been such a distraction that it's given bin Laden a chance to regroup and rebuild his network. You can find more in recent articles by two of the best terrorism analysts working today: New America Foundation's Peter Bergen, writing in the New Republic, and Georgetown University's Bruce Hoffman in the Los Angeles Times. Depressing stuff, indeed.

Posted at 06:00 PM

Bad Guys
David E. Kaplan is chief investigative correspondent at U.S. News & World Report. His work includes cover stories on intelligence agencies, police spying, Saudi financing of jihad groups, and the growing use of organized crime by terrorists. Among Kaplan's books are Yakuza and The Cult at the End of the World, on the doomsday sect that nerve gassed Tokyo's subway. You can reach Kaplan at badguys@usnews.com.

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