Sunday, October 12, 2008

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The World

Posted 2/4/07

A Doomsday Cult Adds to Iraqi Tumult

As U.S. and Iraqi security forces prepare to intensify a security crackdown in Baghdad, the violence continued to escalate throughout Iraq last week. The bloodiest attack was a double suicide bombing in the central market in the southern Shiite town of Hillah, which killed some 73 people and wounded about 163. Baghdad itself was rocked by a series of smaller bombings, while insurgents appeared to be getting more proficient at shooting down helicopters. The U.S. military has lost four helicopters in the past two weeks.

VENEZUELA. Supporters of President Hugo Chávez cheer as lawmakers give him power to rule by presidential decree.
LESLIE MAZOCH-AP

But perhaps the most confusing incident occurred near the Shiite holy city of Najaf, where U.S. and Iraqi troops fought a pitched battle with a mysterious doomsday cult that might have been planning to attack Shiites during the important religious holiday of Ashura.

Most of the violence plaguing Iraq today is believed to be conducted by Iraqis against other Iraqis. But the Bush administration continued its deliberate strategy of saber rattling directed at Iran, blaming Tehran for supplying weapons and training to Shiite militias. The Iraqi government, meanwhile, is increasingly uneasy about being caught in the middle. Iraqi officials last week announced plans to invite neighbors, including Iran and Syria, to Baghdad in March for a regional meeting to discuss security issues.

Time to Worry About the Weather

Rising sea levels. Widespread droughts. Vanishing polar ice. Last week's report from the United Nations-backed Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change was the most worrying installment yet in the avalanche of warnings from scientists about global warming. But the report, released in Paris on Friday, was less ominous in its apocalyptic scenarios than its certainty. The 2,500 scientists who wrote and edited the dense review of scientific knowledge to date concluded that there was a 90 percent chance that greenhouse gases are cooking the planet and that the trend will accelerate this century, most likely raising global temperatures 3.2 to 7.1 degrees Fahrenheit by the year 2100.

Since its first report in 1990, the IPCC has released a consensus-driven, some say conservative, review of climate data approximately every six years, each one reaching stronger conclusions than the last. This year's Fourth Assessment is no different. But U.S. action now may be at hand because of record warm years and 2005's violent hurricane season. Sen. Barbara Boxer, chair of the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee, calls climate-change legislation her top priority, and she met with United Nations officials on the day of the report's release. Even the otherwise skeptical Bush administration concurred with the report's main elements, though it continues to oppose mandatory reductions in greenhouse gases.

The certainty of the results is likely to force policymakers worldwide to layer another difficult debate onto the contentious task of cutting greenhouse gases: adapting to the inevitable environmental change. It could mean storm surge walls for New York, Miami, and more. "You will see serious attention given to the potential damage [of climate change]," says Philip Clapp of the National Environmental Trust. But it's costly, which is why "politicians have been loath to go there."

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