A Department of Energy report, issued earlier this year, noted that “In 1990, China and India together accounted for 13 percent of world CO2 emissions; in 2006 their combined share had risen to 25 percent, largely because of strong economic growth and increasing use of coal to provide energy for that growth. In 2030, CO2 emissions from China and India combined are projected to account for 34 percent of total world emissions, with China alone responsible for 29 percent of the world total.”
Most developed countries in North America, Europe and Asia belong to the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development. The DOE report calculates that between 2006 and 2030, greenhouse-gas emissions by non-OECD countries will average about 2.2 percent annually—“seven times the rate projected for the OECD countries.”
Which puts a lot of pressure on negotiators in Copenhagen, next month, to see what they can get developing nations to commit to—because clearly the developed nations cannot forestall global warming on their own.