Robert Schlesinger

October 2012


Why Obama Will Beat Romney: State Polls and the Electoral College

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So who's got the edge going into Tuesday's election? Over the weekend the New York Times's Nate Silver (about whom I apparently haven't written enough today) had a little noticed but instructive factoid about the reliability of state level polls in the final stretch before the election. What it ...

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TAGS:
2012 presidential election
Obama, Barack
Romney, Mitt
polls
politics
Electoral College

Hurricane Sandy Disrupts Obama's, Romney's Final Campaign Days

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Hurricane Sandy has blown away a good chunk of the final run-up to the election. No Barack Obama or Mitt Romney on the hustings, no new tracking poll data, no new ads—wait, scratch that last one.

The big stuff holds. Obama's off the campaign trail and so is Romney. Obama campaign manager Jim Messina ...

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TAGS:
Obama, Barack
Romney, Mitt
2012 presidential election
Hurricane Sandy
Biden, Joe
Clinton, Bill
Ryan, Paul

Romney's 'Six Studies' Don't Actually Support His Tax Plan Math

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Mitt Romney's tax plan works arithmetically. How do we know? He and Paul Ryan have told us so. And if their word isn't good enough, well then there are no less than six independent studies which confirm that his tax plan clears that very basic hurdle of obeying the laws of mathematics. But here's ...

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TAGS:
politics
Romney, Mitt
Ryan, Paul
2012 presidential election
deficit and national debt
federal budget
Obama, Barack

Why Romney and Ryan Won't Answer the Tax Loophole Question

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One point I mentioned during the live blog of the debate last night which I think is worth reiterating (over and over again) regarding Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan's refusal to give details on half of their tax plan—don't be fooled by their refusal to fill out the details of their plan.

To recap:

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TAGS:
2012 presidential election
Romney, Mitt
Ryan, Paul
federal budget
defense spending
tax cuts
Obama, Barack

Conservative Jobs Conspiracy Is Nuts

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Tis the season for conservative, crackpot, conspiracy theories. From poll numbers they don't like to—today—economic data that displeases them, elements of the conservative coalition (including some high profile ones) are seeing, and loudly proclaiming, conspiracy after conspiracy to re-elect the ...

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