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Poll: Obama Leads Romney In Youth Vote, But Has Trouble Too

April 24, 2012 RSS Feed Print

President Obama has widened his lead among voters age 18-29, according to a survey released Tuesday by Harvard University's Institute of Politics. Nevertheless, said the institute's director Trey Grayson, "The president continues to struggle with key segments of the millennial demographic."

Overall, Obama leads Mitt Romney 43-26, a six point gain from late November/early December, when Obama led by 37-26. The president's improved performance has been powered by a sharp increase of support among Hispanic millennials, 66 percent of whom now approve of his job performance (up from 52 percent in November/December). Obama has also gotten a boost from Democrats, whose approval rate increased to 81 percent from 74 percent in the previous survey. Overall, according to John Della Volpe, the institute's polling director, "The Obama voters at this point seem more committed and more passionate."

[See a collection of political cartoons on the 2012 campaign.]

Nevertheless, the new poll has some troubling data points for the administration. While the president won among whites ages 18-29 in 2008, he currently trails among them by three percentage points (37-34 percent). And the millennial generation also breaks along age lines in its support for the president. While 25- to 29-year olds support Obama by a margin of 23 points (46-23 percent over Romney), 18- to 24-year olds only give him a 12 point margin (41-29 percent). "These kids who are just voting for the first time weren't on the bandwagon," Grayson said. The younger cohort of millennials, on the other hand, know the president through four years of tough to middling economic news and grim prospects for jobs.

And this is buttressed by a growing distaste for Washington generally. "By every measure people have become more disillusioned and more cynical toward the political process," Della Volpe said.

Tags:
young voters,
2012 presidential election,
Barack Obama,
politics,
Mitt Romney

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For you gun lovers out there: Be advised, Mittens voted YES on 5 (FIVE) Anti-gun bills/legislation. (Easily verified info.) Now how is the NRA going to support Flipper with a straight face? I wouldnt be donating a dime to a group that shanghais its members like that!

NINA BARTOLETTA of PA 3:14PM April 28, 2012

And you guys below think that people are buying Romney's brand? If so you are completely out of touch with reality. Romney could be one of the weakest candidates the Republican party has ever put on the ballot. We saved GM, killed Osama Bin Laden, withdrawing from Iraq, and plan to leave Afghanistan. Not to mention unemployment going down and some growth in the economy that is showing an upswing. Romney is an extremely unlikeable candidate that even top Republicans have been uneasy about endorsing. The guy is a robot and judging by the things he has said on the campaign trail (etch a sketch etc) he is a moron. ROMNEY HAS A MORE LIBERAL HEALTH CARE PLAN PASSED IN MASSACHUSETTS WHILE HE WAS GOVERNOR under his belt, yet he claims to be a TRUE CONSERVATIVE? ROMNEY IS A FLIP FLOP! He says whatever he has to say to get elected, and it will show in November when his unenthusiastic supporters don't show up to the polls.

IndependentFlorida of FL 4:26PM April 25, 2012

What diffene does it make ?These over parented entitled ,grade inflated ,freeloaders won't vote anyway.

Joseph Smith 'MO' of NE 2:55PM April 25, 2012

Robert Schlesinger

Robert Schlesinger

Robert Schlesinger is managing editor for opinion at U.S. News and World Report, overseeing all opinion editorial content. He is the author of "White House Ghosts: Presidents and Their Speechwriters." E-mail him at rschlesinger@usnews.com. Follow him on Twitter: @rschles.

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