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January 2, 2008
So much for belief in polls:
Just two days before tomorrow's caucuses, two major political polls taken in Iowa were released showing very different results for the two Democratic front-runners. I've never been a big believer in polls taken months before an election. But I usually start to become more of a believer once the vote is close. In this case, it's alarmingly close for such disparate results.
The first poll, by CNN, revealed the following results: "Among Democrats, Sen. Hillary Clinton of New York wins the most support, with 33 percent of likely Democratic caucus-goers backing Clinton and 31 percent supporting Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois. But taking into account the survey's sampling error of 4.5 percentage points in the Democratic race, the race is virtually tied."