The National Debt is Today's Problem--Not the Future's

May 27, 2010 RSS Feed Print

By Brandon Greife, Thomas Jefferson Street blog

They’ve stolen my sales pitch! Worries about the impact of the national debt and deficit have traditionally been framed in terms of future generations. For instance, Barack Obama recently said,

We have an obligation to future generations to address our long-term, structural deficits, which threaten to hobble our economy and leave our children and grandchildren with a mountain of debt.

As a College Republican, that made my spiel easy. Everyone, regardless of political persuasion, seemed to understand that today’s spending was going to have dire impacts on our future. The government’s recent string of poor fiscal decisions has moved up the timetable.

As David Einhorn wrote in today’s New York Times,

Are you worried that we are passing our debt on to future generations? Well, you need not worry.

Before this recession it appeared that absent action, the government’s long-term commitments would become a problem in a few decades. I believe the government response to the recession has created budgetary stress sufficient to bring about the crisis much sooner. Our generation--not our grandchildren’s--will have to deal with the consequences.

I’ve lost my niche. But Democrats stand to lose much more in November unless they can get our fiscal house in order.

Oddly they don’t seem to be taking any steps to do that. The federal government’s 2011 budget is awash in record levels of red ink. Rather than own up to that uncomfortable reality Democrats, as Lisa Mascaro of the Los Angeles Times writes, “may resolve the politically thorny situation by simply refusing to pass a budget resolution this year.” Shying away from the vote doesn’t change much, but it does create a powerful symbol that the government is not committed to solving this problem.

The only thing Washington appears committed to is digging a deeper hole. Congressional Democrats hoped to pass a Tax Extenders package this week that included $174 billion in new spending and would add $134 billion to the deficit. Unsurprisingly, the rank-and-file bristled at the price tag. What is surprising is that the response was so obviously half-hearted. Under an agreement made Wednesday the cost of the package dropped to a still-staggering $145 billion while adding $95 billion to the deficit.

Moreover, the only way they accomplished these cuts was by shortening the length of time unemployment benefits would be extended and putting off the “doc fix” for two years rather than four. None of that is true savings. It’s merely kicking the can down the road. But as President-elect Barack Obama said in 2009,

We are now at the end of the road and are not in a position to kick it any further. We have to signal seriousness in this by making sure some of the hard decisions are made under my watch, not someone else’s.

The hard decisions will have to be made now. We are beyond the point of speaking about the debt’s impact on children and grandchildren. I’ve accepted that my clear-cut sales pitch is gone. Washington must accept that they need to do something about it.

Tags:
deficit and national debt,
Congress,
Barack Obama,
democratic party,
recession,
debt,
republican party

Reader Comments Read all comments (11)

Add Your Thoughts
Your comment will be posted immediately, unless it is spam or contains profanity. For more information, please see our Comments FAQ.

http://www.oswego.edu/~edunne/debtmyths.html

Myths vs. Realties for the United States National Debt

Myth #1: The National Debt will cause the United States to go bankrupt

Reality: The U.S. is not like you or me. The U.S. government has the power to tax the largest economy in the world, the power to print money and has an infinite life expectancy. All of these factors mean the federal government can incur large amounts of debt.

Myth #2: We have to pay back all of the $5.6 trillion in debt

Reality: The U.S. can simply "roll over" its debt year after year. That is, the Treasury Dept. issues new bonds to pay off the old ones. This is not a problem as long as investors are willing to hold U.S. Treasury bonds. U.S. Treasury bonds are very popular due to their liquidity (they are easily converted to cash), their low risk (they have zero default risk because they are backed by "the full faith and credit" of the U.S. government), and certain tax advantages.

Myth #3: The interest payments on the national debt are a burden to future generations.

Reality: U.S. citizens or even agencies of the U.S. government own most of the debt. Thus we are just paying interest to ourselves.

Myth #4: Foreign ownership of the debt causes money to flow out of the U.S.

Reality: Foreign interests own only about 15% of the debt, and this proportion has remained virtually unchanged since 1980. They typically reinvest their interest payments in the U.S.

Myth #5: The national debt is out of control.

Reality: The true measure of the debt of a nation is the ratio of that debt to the size of the economy. The debt-to-GDP ratio for the U.S. is relatively modest compared (1) to other nations and (2) historically.

There are, however two potential problems with our national debt:

1. The interest payments on the debt redistribute income from taxpayers to bondholders. This redistribution is potentially regressive since wealthier households hold Treasury bonds. So all taxpayers pay debt interest but mostly wealthier taxpayers receive that interest. However, higher income households also bear a larger tax burden than low- and middle-income households: In 1999 the top 1% of household in terms of income paid over 30% of all income taxes.

2. Large debts may produce the crowding out effect. Large debt levels by the U.S. government increase the demand for loanable funds, which increases interest rates and reduces the amount of private borrowing for investment spending. The size of this effect is a subject of debate among economists.

Mary Kelly of CO 12:41AM October 18, 2010

What really causes the federal debt is NOT Social Security, which is OWED about $2.4 trillion by the federal government because that is the to-date surplus that has been collected via payroll taxes, but not paid out over the years. Again, Social Security has a $2.4 trillion surplus!

Social Security has NOT been and is not going to be a contributor to the federal debt!

In a cruel twist of logic, conservatives try to make it look like Social Security has added to the federal debt, when THE OPPOSITE IS TRUE. The more people realize that blaming Social Security and other "entitlements" for our increasing federal debt is false, the more they will begin to look for the true reasons for the debt, which are the wars and our military commitments.

For a concise, cogent explanation of all this, see this webpage: http://www.warresisters.org/pages/piechart.htm

George Fulmore of CA 11:46PM June 01, 2010

GREAT IDEA!!! I will look it up. Go all out, we need it...

Hunter of WI 8:38PM May 30, 2010

Brandon Greife

Brandon Greife

Brandon Greife is the political director for the College Republican National Committee.

advertisement

Robert Schlesinger

Get God Out of the Gay Marriage Debate

The government shouldn't tell churches who they should marry, but neither should churches tell the government which marriages it can recognize.

Mary Kate Cary

Obama Attacks as Economic Cliff Looms

The president can't afford to talk about the economy, but with a 2013 fiscal time bomb approaching, the rest of us can't afford not to.

Concordia Ship Disaster

The Costa Concordia luxury cruise ship keeled over after it ran aground off the coast of Italy.

advertisement