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Where Mitt Romney and the GOP Field Go After New Hampshire

January 11, 2012 RSS Feed Print

After wintry weather in Iowa and New Hampshire, the GOP candidates move to the sunny South for the primaries in South Carolina and Florida. Here's where things stand for the remaining contenders.

[See political cartoons about the 2012 GOP field.]

Mitt Romney: Tea Party activists and Christian conservatives will have to learn to love former Gov. Mitt Romney if he wins in South Carolina. The Palmetto State is not Romney turf, but the traditional conservative vote still is divided four ways. Romney still has to walk the high wire without a net. Romney governed as a liberal in Massachusetts, ran as a conservative in 2008, and is running as a moderate this time. Most mobile presidential candidates wake up in the morning wondering where he is. When Romney wakes up he wonders what he is.

Ron Paul: Right now, Rep. Ron Paul helps the front-runner by dividing the anti-Romney vote. But the libertarian congressman is the only candidate besides Romney who has the money and infrastructure to go the distance. Soon, Paul will become a thorn in Romney's side as the Texan accumulates delegates and influence at the GOP national convention. If Paul and his supporters don't get what they want, he will run as the Libertarian Party candidate and kill Romney's candidacy in November. If Romney moves to the right on economic issues to appease Paul, President Obama will win re-election. The front-runner is dammed if he does and dammed if he doesn't.

[Read the U.S. News debate: Will Mitt Romney Be the GOP Presidential Nominee?]

Newt Gingrich: The former speaker must beat Santorum in South Carolina to stay in the race. If Gingrich does poorly in South Carolina and drops out of the race, it will be a blow to the Obama campaign. Gingrich is doing God's work by beating up Romney as a corporate predator and testing the president's campaign arguments against the former Massachusetts governor. When he beat up Romney for being a callous capitalist, Gingrich forced the former governor to awkwardly defend his tenure at Bain Capital and show voters that he doesn't have the common touch.

Rick Santorum: Former Sen. Rick Santorum must win conservative South Carolina to stop the Romney juggernaut. If Romney moves to the right to head off Santorum in South Carolina, the Massachusetts moderate weakens his position with the moderate suburban independents that will pick the next president in November.

[Read: Who Is Rick Santorum?]

Jon Huntsman: The former Utah governor bet everything on New Hampshire, finished third, and declared victory. If New Hampshire was a victory for Huntsman, he will consider his poor showing in South Carolina a minor setback. He's the guy who worked for Barack Obama and called him a "remarkable" president.

Rick Perry: Dead man walking. The Texas governor is the only American with the possible exception of former Vice President Dick Cheney who thinks we should put troops back into Iraq.

 

Tags:
Jon Huntsman,
Florida,
Rick Perry,
Ron Paul,
2012 presidential election,
South Carolina,
Mitt Romney

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obuma moves to GitMo to live for his protection...

Author writes "Gingrich is doing God's work by beating up Romney as a corporate predator and testing the president's campaign arguments against the former Massachusetts governor"

God has nothing to do with.

Was it $$$ 32,000,000 campaign to bring Newt down ? It only took a few RUMORS to blast Cain out of the waters. obuma was attacked by Biden and H. Clinton. McCain played soft ball.

Newt might as well go home if he does as he did in Iowa. Mitt has been campaigning for YEARS in the States so far. No surprises in Iowa & RH. 8 vote win in Iowa shows Mitt's vulnerability to lose.

Newt as well now has PACK MONEY. No more turning the other cheek. No more soft ball.

Venting is a fact of politics and is not changing. Some will be crippled and some destroyed. Our present $$$ 15 + $16 = 31 trillion debt is 31,000,000,000,000 ton chained Albatross around our neck. Only Newt with Contract With America balanced budget and gave us surplus can save us now:

“Audit of the Federal Reserve Reveals $16 Trillion in Secret Bailouts”. Not being paid back. Zero interest charged...

“The list of institutions that received the most money from the Federal Reserve can be found on page 131 of the GAO Audit and are as follows..”

“Citigroup: $2.5 trillion ($2,500,000,000,000) Morgan Stanley: $2.04 trillion ($2,040,000,000,000) Merrill Lynch: $1.949 trillion ($1,949,000,000,000) Bank of America: $1.344 trillion ($1,344,000,000,000) Barclays PLC (United Kingdom): $868 billion ($868,000,000,000) Bear Sterns: $853 billion ($853,000,000,000) Goldman Sachs: $814 billion ($814,000,000,000) Royal Bank of Scotland (UK): $541 billion ($541,000,000,000) JP Morgan Chase: $391 billion ($391,000,000,000) Deutsche Bank (Germany): $354 billion ($354,000,000,000) UBS (Switzerland): $287 billion ($287,000,000,000) Credit Suisse (Switzerland): $262 billion ($262,000,000,000) Lehman Brothers: $183 billion ($183,000,000,000) Bank of Scotland (United Kingdom): $181 billion ($181,000,000,000) BNP Paribas (France): $175 billion ($175,000,000,000) and many many more including banks in Belgium of all places”

“View the 266-page GAO audit of the Federal Reserve (July 21st, 2011): http://www.scribd.com/doc/60553686/GAO-Fed-Investigation Source: http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-11-696 FULL PDF on GAO server: http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d11696.pdf Senator Sander’s Article: http://sanders.senate.gov/newsroom/news/?id=9e2a4ea8-6e73-4be2-a753-62060dcbb3c3”

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2825696/posts

Bill Hedges of MO 2:47PM January 11, 2012

Sore loser laws prevent Paul from running a 3rd party campaign, and in the past he has avoided switching parties within an election cycle. He will likely encourage voters to support a 3rd party cantidate of their choosing.

The Libertarian Party delegates will probably nominate Gary Johnson, and 3rd party electors overall might recieve around 2% of the popular vote.

If Romney wanted to pick up some libertarian votes he could offer to make social security optional, which has popular support.

Romney can move to the right for the SC primary and back to the left for the general. People already expect this, and it won't hurt his reputation any more to continue to flip-flop. Depending on the job numbers, he can probably win the general election.

Perry and Huntsman will drop out after NC, but Santorum may stay in until he runs out of money, and Newt may stay in until the convention to fight over delegates.

Dan Lavatan of TX 2:14PM January 11, 2012

After the election, where they go:

Mitt Romney: to the White House

Obama: Back home to Chicago, where he will sit in Rev Wright’s church and say amen every time Rev Wright screams God D**n America, and he will rekindle his friendship with the bomber turned left wing icon William Ayers. He will continue to carry on the work of his mentor, the communist Frank Marshall Davis. Then after Tony Rezko and Blagojevich get out of jail; the three of them start an influence peddling firm.

kewaal of GA 12:01PM January 11, 2012

Brad Bannon

Brad Bannon

Brad Bannon runs Bannon Communications Research, a political polling and consulting firm which helps labor unions, progressive issue groups, and Democratic candidates win public affairs and political campaigns. Brad guest hosts Leslie Marshall’s nationally syndicated radio talk show and is a commentator on America’s Radio News Network. Follow him on Twitter @BradBannon.

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