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June 28, 2006
Here are the final poll results in Mexico's July 2 presidential election. Under Mexican law, polls cannot be conducted after June 20, and results cannot be published after June 23. The results average out as follows: 36 percent for the PRD's Andrés Manuel López Obrador, 33 percent for the PAN's Felipe Calderón, and 27 percent for the PRI's Roberto Madrazo. The one poll that seems to be an outlier is the Milenio poll, which shows a lower number for Calderón and a higher one for Madrazo: without Milenio, the average is López Obrador 36, Calderon 34, and Madrazo 26. This looks like a very close election indeed; I'm headed to Mexico City on Thursday to see what I can find out.