How Obama's Foreign Policy Success Will Win Him Re-election

It's no surprise Mitt Romney and the GOP are avoiding a foreign policy discussion.

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  • Key 2: Contest. There is no serious contest for the incumbent-party nomination. (True)
  • Key 3 Incumbency. The incumbent-party candidate is the sitting president. (True)
  • Key 4: Third party. There is no significant third-party or independent campaign. (True)
  • Key 5: Short-term economy. The economy is not in recession during the election campaign. (True)
  • Key 6: Long-term economy. Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms. (False)
  • Key 7: Policy change. The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy. (True)
  • Key 8: Social unrest. There is no sustained social unrest during the term. (True)
  • Key 9: Scandal. The administration is untainted by major scandal. (True)
  • Key 10: Foreign/military failure. The administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs. (True)
  • Key 11: Foreign/military success. The administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs. (True)
  • Key 12: Incumbent charisma. The incumbent-party candidate is charismatic or a national hero. (False)
  • Key 13: Challenger charisma: The challenging-party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero. (True)
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