Coats is vulnerable, but the insurgents have, typically, split. GOP gadfly DeMint and others support Marlin Stutzman, a 34-year-old state senator, while Tea Party godfather Ron Paul has endorsed former Rep. John Hostettler, a religious conservative grass-roots favorite. Feigenbaum, who has watched Indiana politics for 25 years, says he's never seen such an inscrutable primary—Coats, Hostettler, or Stutzman could win. The only public poll, released Thursday, had Coats leading with 36 percent to Hostettler's 24 percent, and Stutzman at 18 percent.
But all hold leads over Rep. Brad Ellsworth, the presumptive Democratic nominee (who nevertheless has raised more money than the entire GOP field). Indiana, in other words, could present an instance where insurgents may be able to elect someone as radical as they want; electability and ideology might line up.
A Coats loss on Tuesday, then, could give the outraged, insurgent, Tea Party-right something more than another RINO pelt. They might start living up to their media hype. It's enough to give pause to a progressive, but it would cause a few beltway headaches. As the Irish saying goes, here's a toast to our enemies' enemies.