Pay-Go Budget Rules Do Little to Control Spending or Reduce Deficit

President Obama’s plan isn’t like the typical American household budget

February 25, 2010 RSS Feed Print
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Gretchen Hamel is the executive director of Public Notice, a new independent, bipartisan, nonprofit organization dedicated to providing facts and insights on the effect public policy has on Americans' financial well-being.  

Washington politicians are desperate to prove they aren't out of touch with average Americans. They know the public is more disgusted than ever with the government. A recent CBS News poll found 70 percent of respondents--including 73 percent of independents--are either "dissatisfied" or "angry" with how things are going in Washington. And that anger is largely directed at government overspending. 

Backroom deals, trillion-dollar deficits, pork-laden spending bills, and multibillion-dollar bailouts have left many Americans wondering if Washington can be trusted with their money. 

President Obama has tried to reassure a skeptical public that government "gets it." He has highlighted a new version of an old law, commonly known as "pay-go," as evidence government is ready for responsible budgeting. The president explained, "It's pretty simple. It says to Congress ... You can't spend a dollar unless you cut a dollar elsewhere. This is how a responsible family or business manages a budget. And this is how a responsible government manages a budget, as well." 

Sounds like common sense, right? Unfortunately, pay-go does not actually require Congress to cut a dollar for every dollar it spends. Its rules apply only to a fraction of new spending proposals. For instance, programs in appropriations bills (which make up 40 percent of the budget) are exempt. And it has no application to existing entitlement programs, like Social Security and Medicare, which account for another third of the federal budget. In a best-case scenario, it would allow the baseline collision course to continue. 

Even when pay-go would apply to a new spending bill, Congress has plenty of ways to get around it. "Emergency" spending--like last year's $787 billion stimulus bill--can be determined on an ad hoc basis and is exempt from these rules. 

Congress also uses budget gimmicks to disguise legislation's real costs to get around pay-go. For example, Congress can expand funding for a program for the near term, and then slash or even defund that program in subsequent years to make things "balance." That's exactly what Congress did when pushing through an expansion of the State Children's Health Insurance Program. It increased funding for years 2009 to 2013, but then scheduled a reduction in spending of 65 percent for 2014. This brought down cost estimates, and helped legislators technically comply with the rules, but it's not very likely future legislators will follow through with that scheduled cut. 

If this is how "responsible families" budgeted, as the president suggests, what would their finances look like? They could ignore spending that they had scheduled years before: items like their mortgage and health insurance. When planning their food budget they could front load all the spending to the first six months of the year, and then budget nothing for food for the rest of the year. When something unexpected came up--whether that's a broken window or just a desire for a new pair of shoes--they could declare it necessary because of an "emergency," and then not bother with pinching pennies elsewhere. 

Clearly, this would be a disaster for a family trying to control its spending. 

And it will be equally ineffective for Congress. Pay-go has been included in the rules of the House since 2007. Since that time the deficit exploded from $161 billion to $1.6 trillion. These rules failed to stop that. 

Tags:
deficit and national debt,
federal budget,
Barack Obama

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Leave it to an ex-Bushie to try to poke a hole in pay-go. It may be flawed but history reminds us how wasteful and profligate the "Deficit doesn't Matter", 2 unpaid wars, crowd was. Where was Gretchen Hamel's fiscal concern then?

This story's premise is correct in that Obama's situation is not like a typical household. It's like a household where the dutiful son must return home to put in order the ruined family estate where for the past eight years his demented parents have spent the family estate on luxury goods and guns to lock in the basement. They mortgaged the home and then put a second mortgage on it, spent all the money, and didn't fix the roof or the plumbing but gave away huge sums to crooked "friends".

Craig C of MT 10:04AM September 27, 2010

Fill in your salary for Ms. Hamel's next job:

Deputy Assistant United States Trade Representative, a post she served from August 2006 until the end of the Bush Administration. My guess is $100,000 to $130,000 range.

Quite the troll article. We aren't buying your new "non-partisan" status, Ms. Hamel. Give it up.

L. Miles of OH 3:29PM September 17, 2010

Ms. Hamel had no problem with government spending when she took money from our tax dollars!

Her record:

1. $40,200 from November 2005 to August 2006 working as press secretary to Rep. John Carter, R-TX

2. $70,000 in 2005, as press secretary to Carter

3. Nearly $60,000 in 2004, as press secretary to Carter

4. Over $50,000 in 2003 as a press assistant to Rep. J.C. Watts, R-OK

5. Nearly $20,000 from June through December 2002, as press assistant to Watts

[Not bad coin for the times and the job. Check out the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the same time; she blew the top off the top salaries!]

My guess is her real "non-profit" goal of controlling spending is to get the Democrats out so the government spending will again go directly into her Republican pocketbook.

L. Miles of OH 3:15PM September 17, 2010

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