DOES NAVALNY STAND A CHANCE?
With 102 million rubles ($3.1 million) in campaign funds from over 16,000 donors, around 20,000 volunteers have hit the campaign trail for Navalny, passing out leaflets in the metro or hanging banners on balconies.
But despite this unprecedented effort, it's unlikely that Navalny will win. A week before the election, a poll by the independent Levada Center predicted that he would get 18 percent of the vote compared to 58 percent for Sobyanin — a significant rise from the 6 percent Navalny was polling in July, but not enough to get Sobyanin under the 50 percent mark that would force him to a run-off. The Levada poll has a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points.
For Navalny, a strong showing could lead to a shortening of his prison sentence, if the Kremlin feels that this would help diffuse discontent.