Will win: Audra McDonald ("The Gershwins' Porgy and Bess"). Should win: Audra McDonald.
Audra McDonald is this year's Sutton Foster — the clear leading candidate. But Jan Maxwell in "Follies" was astonishing and she's an honorable silver to McDonald's gold. McDonald has four Tonys already, but never for a lead actress. That will change Sunday and deservedly so. She is graceful and tender and strong — and simply the best thing about Catfish Row. Tony voters will sing "I Loves You, Bess."
Mark Kennedy can be reached at http://twitter.com/KennedyTwits