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Santorum jumps into second place in delegate race

February 7, 2012 RSS Feed Print

By STEPHEN OHLEMACHER, Associated Press

WASHINGTON (AP) — Former Sen. Rick Santorum has surged into second place in the race for delegates with wins in Republican presidential caucuses in Colorado and Minnesota.

Santorum picked up at least 55 delegates in Tuesday's contests, including all the delegates at stake in Minnesota, according to an analysis by The Associated Press. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney got at least nine delegates, while Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul were shut out.

Overall, Romney has 112 delegates, including endorsements from members of the Republican National Committee who automatically attend the party's national convention and can support any candidate they choose. Santorum has 72 delegates, Gingrich has 32 and Paul has nine.

The race for delegates is still in the early stages. It will take 1,144 delegates to win the GOP nomination.

Santorum also won the Missouri primary Tuesday, but the party is not awarding any delegates based on the results. Instead, Missouri will award its 52 delegates through a system of caucuses and conventions, starting March 17.

Minnesota had 37 delegates up for grabs Tuesday — 13 based on statewide results and 24 based on results in individual congressional districts. Minnesota has not yet finalized new boundaries for its congressional districts, but Santorum's victory in the state was so sweeping that he would win them all, regardless of how the lines are drawn, according to the AP analysis.

Unofficial returns in Minnesota show Santorum winning 82 of the state's 87 counties, finishing about 8,700 votes ahead of Paul, who came in second.

Colorado had 33 delegates at stake — 12 based on the statewide vote and 21 based on results in individual congressional districts.

Delegates to the party's national convention from Minnesota and Colorado are not bound by the results of Tuesday's caucuses. The caucuses were the first in a multistep process to award the delegates.

However, the AP analysis showed Santorum would win all of Minnesota's delegates and at least 18 delegates in Colorado, if he maintains the same level of support throughout the process. Romney won at least nine delegates in Colorado. The remaining six could not be determined on election night because the party did not provide votes by congressional district for counties that are split into multiple districts.

The AP calculates the number of national convention delegates won by candidates in each presidential primary or caucus, based on state and national party rules. Most primaries and some caucuses are binding, meaning delegates won by the candidates are pledged to support that candidate at the national conventions this summer.

Political parties in some states, including Minnesota and Colorado, use local caucuses to elect delegates to state or congressional district conventions, where national delegates are selected. In these states, the AP uses the results from local caucuses to calculate the number of national delegates each candidate will win, if the candidates maintain the same level of support.

The AP will update delegate totals if support for the candidates changes. The AP also interviews RNC delegates, who can support any candidate they choose, to see which one they support.

Copyright 2012 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

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Ron Paul will get far more delegates in MN, MO and CO than most people realize. The straw poll is interesting and indicative, but in my precinct all the Ron Paul supporters stayed after the straw poll and ran as delegates when 1/3 of the rest left early. After the dust settled, Paul had 7/12 delegates and 5/6 alternates.

Matt of MN 3:17AM February 10, 2012

I got this email from the Paul campaign yesterday..This is what happened in Colorado. No delegates have been chosen in Missouri and Minnesota.

We are confident in gaining a much larger share of delegates than even our impressive showing yesterday indicates. As an example of our campaign's delegate strength, take a look at what has occurred in Colorado:

- In one precinct in Larimer County, the straw poll vote was 23 for Santorum, 13 for Paul, 5 for Romney, 2 for Gingrich. There were 13 delegate slots, and Ron Paul got ALL 13.

- In a precinct in Delta County the vote was 22 for Santorum, 12 for Romney, 8 for Paul, 7 for Gingrich. There were 5 delegate slots, and ALL 5 went to Ron Paul.

- In a Pueblo County precinct, the vote was 16 for Santorum, 11 for Romney, 3 for Gingrich and 2 for Paul. There were 2 delegate slots filled, and both were filled by Ron Paul supporters.

- We are also seeing the same trends in Minnesota, Nevada, and Iowa, and in Missouri as well.

Jeremy of CA 9:23PM February 09, 2012

This article and the AP article it references are totally false. NO delegates from Minnesota have been awarded yet. There is no possible way that Santorum is going to sweep the entire slate given the on-the-ground results from the various precincts last night. The vote is just a beauty contest and has NOTHING to do with the delegate count. This is determined largely by campaign organization and commitment - i.e., which candidates' supporters get elected as county or state delegates at the caucuses. Ron Paul had arguably the strongest ground game in Minnesota and will pick up a fair share of delegates there.

The vote in Missouri means even less because there were not even any county or state delegates selected last night. The delegate process for Missouri doesn't start until their caucus on March 17.

This could easily have been explained, but God forbid the "journalists" do a little legwork instead of just spouting horserace numbers and fun facts for the people to eat up.

Joe of CT 6:53PM February 08, 2012

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