Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush sat out during the 2012 presidential election cycle in part for financial reasons, according to the new book "Double Down," and there's that whole negative name recognition thing too. But he might have a shot in 2016 – if one thing happens.
"His only shot at the White House is if somebody named Clinton is running on the other side and I think he knows that," said NBC's Chuck Todd Wednesday at the Atlantic's Washington Ideas Forum. "He is thinking a lot harder about this than people realize," Todd added.
Charlie Cook, sitting opposite of Todd, gave Bush's chance of running a 10 percent.
"If I could pick two right now, if I could go to Vegas and pick two, I'd pick Scott Walker and Rand Paul," he said of the Wisconsin governor and the Kentucky senator. Paul has been able to shimmy himself into the center because Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas "redefined the term extremism" in the GOP, Cook said. "[Paul's] gradually becoming more acceptable and Ted Cruz is helping him get there," Cook said.
Todd also talked highly of Paul. "His biggest problem is going to be social issues in Iowa," Todd said, explaining that the senator's libertarian streak might be perceived as being not pro-life enough in the first caucus state. That being said, in New Hampshire, where the second contest is held, Paul could do well. "I think Rand Paul can win the nomination," the NBC number cruncher said.