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Social Media Analysis Predicts Big Romney Win on Super Tuesday

February 21, 2012 RSS Feed Print

SocialMatica, a media tracking company, predicts Mitt Romney will steal back his front-runner status after he wins Super Tuesday.

The company's analytic dashboards show Romney winning seven of the 10 Super Tuesday states including Alaska, Massachusetts, Oklahoma. Vermont, Tennessee, Virginia and the swing state of Ohio. [See pictures of the 2012 GOP candidates.]

Newt Gingrich is expected to win in his home state of Georgia, while the data shows Ron Paul will win his first contests in North Dakota and Idaho.

Rick Santorum, however, didn't secure any victories on Super Tuesday.

What surprised me is that traditional media is focusing on Rick Santorum, but he ranks no higher than third in our social analytic measurement," says Gary Hermansen, the CEO of SocialMatica.

SocialMatica's data not only reveals how candidates will perform in the Super Tuesday races, but also uncovers what issues are most important to voters in each state by collecting data from Facebook, Twitter, blogs, online forums and LinkedIn profiles. [Poll: Ronald Reagan Still Held in High Esteem.]

In Alaska, for example, the Tea Party, church, environment and economy are important topics to consider in the state's primary contest. In Georgia, education, budget and military issues topped voters' priority lists.

Unlike static poll results, the dashboards will be updated daily until Super Tuesday to reflect current social media trends. [See pictures of Mitt Romney]

"This is a living analysis. I think people utilize social media as their real time interactive conversation now instead of just depending on what they read or what is fed to them," says Hermansen.

While this is the company's first 2012 state analysis, this is not the first time SocialMatica used the technology to predict political outcomes. During the Wisconsin recall election, SocialMatica says they accurately called all of the races they tracked prior to the election.

Tags:
Rick Santorum,
Ron Paul,
2012 presidential election,
Newt Gingrich,
Mitt Romney

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OhMyGov! has not only successfully called all the GOP primaries using their social media platforms but also called the 2010 elections and scientifically shown how specific social media data tracks with polling. For the leaders in the space you should be using their platforms, whether you're the press, campaign or canididate.

Richard of VA 5:10PM February 28, 2012

The GOP has once again shot itself and won't win in this coming Presidential Election.

And...it always will. Why? because the GOP leadership are cowards and panderers.

If they would just listen to the conservatives and even most of the moderates they would know that pandering to the left and near left will never win any elections. If they would just have some balls and courage they could capture the votes. Instead they want to pander to "groups" such as moderates who really are not moderates and the latinos who could care less about this Nation but only want to better themselves and to hell with everybody else including our Republic.

Then you have the results of years of democrat control coming to a head now. Everyone forgets that this latest recession (and depression) are the direct results of democrat control and forcing banks to do their bidding, along with hundreds of other examples of thier intentional and sometimes unintended side effects.

Of course the repubs have done not much better. Look at what has happened (or not happened) in the last year. Repubs giving in, surrendering and going along just to get by and doing nothing for Americans and our Country. Yea, the Senate is still ruled by the democrats but still the repubs let our debt mount, our bills pile up and do nothing to cut anything or stop America's slide to the bottom.

Is it time for a third party...? Maybe not this election but I think if Obama wins this thime you will see not only a third party but even a fouth party.

Remember this if all else fails:

The Second Amendment is a doomsday provision, one designed for those exceptionally rare circumstances where all other rights have failed - where the government refuses to stand for reelection and silences those who protest; where courts have lost the courage to oppose, or can find no one to enforce their decrees. However improbable these contingencies may seem today, facing them unprepared is a mistake a free people get to make only once.

2009 Judge Alex Kozinski

Papa Ray of TX 12:28PM February 26, 2012

Looks like a nice portent for Ron Paul too, perhaps in North Dakota and/or Idaho.

Nice.

John of NY 12:05PM February 22, 2012

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