Never-Wrong Pundit Picks Obama to Win in 2012

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A statistician runs 500 simulations every two weeks using recent polling data. His electoral college projections have narrowed into a range as follows:
Romney Best Case 228 = 310 Obama Worst Case
Romney Worst Case 211 = 327 Obama Best Case
Romney Average 220 = 317 Obama Average
Numbers do not equal 538 in every case due to rounding.
Another view from a previously accurate pollster has similar projections
* If Obama wins the states the Democrats have won the last five elections plus the swing states in the West (Nevada, Colorado, and New Mexico), where he has been leading all year, he would have 262 electoral votes, 8 short of 270. Those 8 could be Iowa (6) and New Hampshire (4), allowing him to lose Ohio, Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, and Missouri and still be reelected.*

Tiger paw of GA 12:51AM September 03, 2012

I'm watching the RNC convention... what a bunch of dumb lemmings!!!! Santorum laid an egg. Amme Romney laid an egg, even Chris Christie laid an egg! You idiots are done! Obama 2012.

Wisdom of LA 10:57PM August 28, 2012

Even though this was written a year ago, nothing has changed and the economy is holding its own......in some battle ground states, the economy has IMPROVED. On the foreign affairs side of the coin, the US is leading and we are winding down 2 UNPOPULAR wars started by a Republican President. I agree the President has lacked on the charisma--but that's not his nature. Once he gets out of the white house and conduct more town hall meetings amd ralliwa, they will make up for that gap.....

The Motown Sound! of OH 1:55PM August 12, 2012

The one good thing that will happen to Barry Barak Hussein Soetoro Obama after he loses the election.
He won't have to continue using all those different Social Security numbers. That will be a big relief for him.
Thank you Romney for bringing this all out in October. All of America is thankful for the truth.

Jake of CO 10:51PM August 10, 2012

“Dante” and “Vote for Romney”,
The best rebuttal you could come up with to my previous comment was to point out a typo I made? That says a lot in itself. Both of you (and Sue) need to pack your bags and go back to your original countries of origin. You are just pawns of the Republican Party. You listen to their leadership spewing half-truths and lies and you lap it up like someone who has been roaming in the desert for days without water. It’s funny to me… You are immigrants (or descendants of immigrants) and you are against immigration today. If your grandparents or great grandparents were treated the way you want to treat immigrants today… YOU WOULDN’T BE HERE!!! Such hypocrites! You should visit the statue of Liberty sometime (because obviously you’ve never seen it up close). The inscription reads... "Give me your tired, your poor, Your huddled masses yearning to breathe free, The wretched refuse of your teeming shore. Send these, the homeless, tempest-tost to me, I lift my lamp beside the golden door!" This is America’s true immigration policy. This is part of what has made America such a great nation!
A few years ago Romney-Care was the best thing since sliced bread to the Republican Party. President Obama recognized that it was a good program and adopted it nationally. Now you idiots can’t stand it… simply because the President sanctioned it. One day you will realize the true Republican Party agenda. They are the party of the wealthy and their desire is to insure the country is governed in a manner that insures they remain wealthy and in control of the economy… That’s why they try to paint the President as a socialist. (and of course he’s not). Americans won’t let Romney win because sane Americans recognize that he would just be a pawn of the republican leadership. He will say and do whatever necessary to please them… as evident by his constant flip-flopping on just about all major issues. He was always for it until he was against it. Top-down or trickle-down economics doesn’t work. It’s crazy to think that by giving rich people more money that they will somehow in-turn invest it in the economy. That’s just crazy! If they were going to do that, they would have done it by now.
I will pray for you guys, and America.
I’m not concerned at all about the election. I’m confident President will be re-elected in a landslide.
I hope you guys see the light before it’s too late, so you can stay in America.

Wisdom of LA 10:00AM July 27, 2012

It’s hard for me to believe how many idiots there are in America. Sue, you are definitely included in the group. Romney is a liar, a thief, and the biggest flip-floper I’ve ever seen. If he knows anything about business, it’s how to bankrupt and fleece as many companies as possible to get rich. You fools whined and whined until Obama made his birth certificate public. Now let’s see some of Mit’s tax returns! I’m sure we never will. He has $30-$50 million in a retirement account that can only legally gain $6,000 per year. At a minimum he would have to making those deposits for at least 3,333 years. Swiss bank accounts, offshore accounts – Who does that? …only folks who are evading the IRS. We don’t care that he has money… we care that he’s breaking the law with regards to tax evasion. He saved the Olympics… what a joke. Had he not been there would the Olympics have been cancelled? Oh, and bye-the-way, millions of dollars that he used to “save” the Olympics came from the federal government. But the most egregious and outrageous thing he’s done lately is editing the President’s comments in a speech to distort the truth. A flat out lie to America. AND THIS IS THE IDIOT YOU WANT IN THE WHITE HOUSE. I guess you think Bachman, Palin, and the rest of the crazies are geniuses too! What a bunch of dumbasses you are!

Wisdom of LA 4:26PM July 26, 2012

Obama is a radical muslum communist that better not win; he is destroying our freedoms and opportunities; he is not cleaning up after anyone. its his mess now; when Bush was in I had more money; Obama has put US you and me all in debt for life; we will be forever paying for those who are illegal and dont work or sit on their behinds on unemployment and disability!! I know someone who can only move a few fingers and he has a business of graphic arts!! Under Obama you are going to have more and more people on the government dole.

Sue of PA 10:22PM July 23, 2012

Vote for Romney,
Spelled Romney:"Romeny" wrong in your user name.
Idiot...

Dante of NY 6:42PM July 14, 2012

Wisdom,
Before you call someone an idiot, use spell check.
Romney 2012.

Vote For Romeny of NJ 9:56PM July 10, 2012

McCoy,
I'm sick of hearing you idiots talk about how bad Obama is for this country. Did you say that same crap about GW Bush? Bush took this country for trillions in surplus to trillins in defecit during his trime as president. bush destroyed the American brand internationally. He was a total baffon!!!!... but you idiots loved him. President Obama has been cleaning up his crap ever since. Rebubs in congress have said "NO" to everything... not matter what... even if it was good. They have hated President Obama from day one, and they have been determined to make him fail from the beginning. "F" you and your rebub colleagues. Romney is another repub idiot that will never be elected. You are crazy!... America is not!
Obama 2012

Wisdom of LA 9:10PM July 08, 2012