Never-Wrong Pundit Picks Obama to Win in 2012

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I think Obama wins easily... media is just trying to keep this thing interesting.

lars of IA 1:45PM May 23, 2012

So much has changed and more to come. Need to re-evaluate the keys. Looks like the chances are going to be less then 50% for Obama to win in 2012 and the key to my brain is saying he just might be moving out of the White House, lock stock and barrel. Sorry to bust your bubble! One can't be right all of the time, however! We shall see...

Mr James of CA 10:52PM May 17, 2012

LOL, this reminds me of myself after the general election in 2004. I was pretty bummed and predicted hell and brimstone with 4 more yrs in the Bush!

Cookie of IL 9:25PM May 15, 2012

Sorry I posted twice but maybe you people need to see it twice.

Nikki of GA 11:40AM May 12, 2012

Yeah you idiots deserve for the country to fail if you vote for him again. Good thing I know wilderness survival cause we're going to need it; we are going to thrive when the poop hits the fan. Think Depression think empty shelf's at the supermarket, and there will not be a McDonald's to run to! You people deserve this you really do but, Ill probably be pulling a lot of your sorry butts out of the sling.

Nikki of GA 11:38AM May 12, 2012

Yeah you idiots deserve for the country to fail if you vote for him again. Good thing I know wilderness survival cause we're going to need it; we are going to thrive when the poop hits the fan. Think Depression think empty shelf's at the supermarket, and there will not be a McDonald's to run to! You people deserve this you really do but, Ill probably be pulling a lot of your sorry butts out of the sling.

Nikki of GA 11:11AM May 12, 2012

This is the most unsophisticated piece of horse manur I've ever read. Clearly a liberal academic along with the media helping the losing Obama admin to Change overall opinion- based on old news and not upf
Dated to reelect clearly scandalous administration egotistical pompous self promotion ! Obama is going to lose this election by a wide margin- by over 75 electoral loss or more, it's a no brainier just look at the Vegas style betting and it will

Obama of OH 10:09AM May 07, 2012

Sounds plausible. What I can't find online - yet - is opinion poll ratings for any earlier two-candidate race 6 months before election day to compare with Obama's current 4.6 recurring point lead (average of 3 most recent results as of April 26). I hope the above is clear: how far ahead was any incumbent President, who then lost, over his only serious challenger 6 months before polling day?

Charles Mosley 10:33AM April 28, 2012

Mathematically inclined readers would also wish to check:
The Electronic Primaries:
Predicting the U.S. Presidency Using Feature Selection with Safe Data Reduction
http://www.acs.org.au/index.cfm?action=show&conID=200501011337059261
published in 2005. We reanalized Litchman and Keilis-Borok's 1981 dataset with
a novel methodology. Our paper was submitted and accepted in a computer science conference before the election took place.
We have several feature sets (sets of questions in this case) that can be used
to predict the results. We illustrate on the number of times a question appears in
electoral patterns that can be used to derive decision trees. The analysis highlight
the relative importance of some issues for prediction.
The core of this methodology is the introduction of the (alpha,beta)-k-feature set mathematical model. We hope it will motivate other applications in Political and Management Sciences.
We are now using it to identify biomarkers in blood that can
predict clinical symptoms of Alzheimer's disease several years in advance.
Our results have been published in PLoS ONE and are available from
Multivariate Protein Signatures of Pre-Clinical Alzheimer's Disease in the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) Plasma Proteome Dataset
PLoS ONE 7(4): e34341. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0034341
http://www.plosone.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0034341
and the two previous references to our work cited in that manuscript.