Zogby: Bin Laden 'Bump' Still Supporting Obama

June 3, 2011 RSS Feed Print
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Pollster John Zogby updates our weekly Obama Report Card with a grade on the president's performance. Zogby uses his polling, expert analysis, and interaction with major players to come up with a grade and some comments that capture how he sees the president's week ending.

John Zogby on Week: 124

"The president's approval rating has held steady at 48 percent for nearly a month. That is a solid number considering continued hard economic times and high gas prices. It's too soon to believe this level of approval is permanent, but the White House has to be encouraged by how long the bin Laden 'bump' has already lasted. The percentage saying Obama deserves re-election (41%) should be a problem, but won't be until Republicans find a candidate voters believe in. By 47 percent to 33 percent, voters expect Obama to be re-elected. The president's current challenge, getting Congress to pass an increase in the debt ceiling, could have great consequences. As he has done in previous legislative struggles, Obama is working more behind the scenes, and not saying much that would further mobilize Tea Party activists. He would prefer that business interests make the case to congressional Republicans for accepting a debt limit increase in exchange for limited budget cuts." 

This week's grade: B

Last week's: B+

John Zogby is Chairman of the Board and Chief Insights Officer for IBOPE Zogby International, a non-partisan public opinion, research, and business solutions firm with experience working in more than 70 countries around the globe. IBOPE Zogby International specializes in telephone, Internet, and face-to-face survey research and analysis for corporate, political, nonprofit, and governmental clients. The firm is headquartered in Utica, N.Y. John Zogby is also the author of The Way We'll Be: The Zogby Report on the Transformation of the American Dream (Random House).

 

Tags:
Republican Party,
deficit and national debt

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The D/R/I in the wash post poll was a ridiculously skewed at 31/25/39, which seriously undersamples Republicans. In a sample more reflective of reality, Obama’s job approval would be lower than the 47% shown here, and he’d be in deeper trouble against Republican challengers than this shows.

I wonder how skewed Zogby's samples are? 60/10/30 maybe? I wonder, does Zogby even know any Republicans?

Michael 10:00AM June 07, 2011

I constantly find it amusing what you consider passing marks for a Democratic President, as I recall you projected Pelosi would hold on to power until the last second as well ...

in the Wash Post today (06/07/2011):

"The public opinion boost President Obama received after the killing of Osama bin Laden has dissipated, and Americans’ disapproval of how he is handling the nation’s economy and the deficit has reached new highs, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.

The survey portrays a broadly pessimistic mood in the country this spring as higher gasoline prices, sliding home values and a disappointing employment picture have raised fresh concerns about the pace of the economic recovery.

By 2 to 1, Americans say the country is pretty seriously on the wrong track, and nine in 10 continue to rate the economy in negative terms. Nearly six in 10 say the economy has not started to recover, regardless of what official statistics may say, and most of those who say it has improved rate the recovery as weak.

New Post-ABC numbers show Obama leading five of six potential Republican presidential rivals tested in the poll. But he is in a dead heat with former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, who formally announced his 2012 candidacy last week, making jobs and the economy the central issues in his campaign.

Among all Americans, Obama and Romney are knotted at 47 percent each, and among registered voters, the former governor is numerically ahead, 49 percent to 46 percent.

Overall, about six in 10 of those surveyed give Obama negative marks on the economy and the deficit. Significantly, nearly half strongly disapprove of his performance in these two crucial areas. Nearly two-thirds of political independents disapprove of the president’s handling of the economy, including — for the first time — a slim majority who do so strongly"

Michael 8:04AM June 07, 2011

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