Team Romney: Polls Don't Tell the Story

Mitt Romney's campaign releases memo saying bad jobs numbers, not daily polls, point to Romney victory.

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Mitt Romney speaks as vice presidential running mate Rep. Paul Ryan, R-Wis., listens during a campaign rally in Powell, Ohio.

Mitt Romney's chief pollster is urging the media and Romney supporters not to get "too worked up about the latest polling" in the presidential campaign. In an email to "interested parties" Monday morning, Neil Newhouse says that, "some voters will feel a bit of a sugar high from the conventions [but] the basic structure of this race has not changed significantly."

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"The reality of the Obama economy will reassert itself as the ultimate downfall of the Obama presidency, and Mitt Romney will win this race," he adds.

The Newhouse memo can be seen as an effort to bolster Republican morale and change the media story line emerging this week that Obama received a small boost from the Democratic National Convention and remains ahead of Romney in polls nationally and in swing states such as Ohio and Colorado.

But Newhouse says that Friday's Labor Department report on unemployment, which showed a disappointing level of job growth, reinforced the idea that the country is still hurting badly.

"President Obama is the only president in modern American history to stand before the American people asking for re-election with this many Americans struggling to find work," the pollster says, outlining the Romney message for the endgame of the campaign. "The key numbers in this election are the 43 straight months of 8 percent or higher unemployment, the 23 million Americans struggling to find work, and the 47 million Americans who are on food stamps."

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He adds: "Today, there is no question: Americans are not better off than we were four years ago, and that is why President Obama has struggled in this race."

Newhouse adds that the most recent CNN/ORC polling shows that 62 per cent of Republicans are "extremely' or "very" excited about the election while only 56 per cent of Democrats feel that way.

He also said that the Romney campaign's grass-roots effort—with more than 20 million voters contacted by volunteers so far—will be another important factor leading to a Romney victory.

Ken Walsh covers the White House and politics for U.S. News. He can be reached at and on Facebook and Twitter.