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November Pending Home Sales Smash Expectations

December 29, 2011 RSS Feed Print

Pending home sales smashed through expectations Thursday, reaching their highest level in 19 months, according to the National Association of Realtors. The strong rebound could signal coming strength in existing home sales, which reflect completed sales and tend to lag pending sales by a month or two.

A forward-looking indicator, the Pending Home Sales Index, which reflects when someone signs a contract to buy a home, surged more than 7 percent in November and is up almost 6 percent over last year's numbers. The last time the index reached these levels was in April 2010 as buyers rushed to take advantage of the home-buyer tax credit.

[Read: What's in Store for the Housing Market in 2012?]

"November is doing reasonably well in comparison with the past year," said Lawrence Yun, NAR's chief economist, in a release. "The sustained rise in contract activity suggests that closed existing-home sales, which are the important final economic impact figures, should continue to improve in the months ahead."

Still, contract failures continue to poke a hole in the inflating optimism for home sales in the coming year. Some of the uptick in pending home sales seems to be the result of buyers recommitting to a purchase after contracts fell through the first time, primarily due to problems getting a mortgage.

Experts expect mortgage rates to remain low in coming months, which should help spur more housing demand if tight lending standards doesn't stifle it first.

mhandley@usnews.com

Twitter: @mmhandley

Tags:
housing market,
housing

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joepiersonz of TX 3:33AM December 30, 2011

consumer sentiment always trails reality. It's human nature to believe that things are always going to be the way they are at this moment, which is part of the reason we got into this mess in the first place. Economists (which are usually conservatively pessamistic) say that we won't start seeing a full rebound until 2012, but I wouldn't be surprised if we beat that estimate and pent up demand pushed that up to this summer.

My Six Percent - Because You Don't Need a Real Estate Agent

MySixPercent of TX 1:25AM December 30, 2011

Here is an article that discusses who the Federal Reserve blames for the massive decline in the value of American residential real estate:

http://viableopposition.blogspot.com/2011/12/americas-housing-boom-and-bust-who-is.html

Hint: it's not the Fed's policy of ultra-low interest rates that is to blame. In 2006, nearly 35 percent of all first mortgages issued in the United States were issued to multiple residence owners. For the states of Arizona, California, Florida and Nevada, nearly 45 percent of all mortgages were issued to multiple mortgage holders.

Steve Thompson of ME 2:28PM December 29, 2011

The Home Front

There is no economic recovery without a housing recovery. From data on new housing starts to reports of existing home sales, reporter Meg Handley digs deeper into the latest news and numbers driving the housing market.

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