As is usually the case, the nominations for the 2013 Primetime Emmys delivered a fair share of snubs, surprises and predictably safe choices. When it comes to picking the big winner in each category, the same is likely to follow, and rarely do fans, critics and Emmy voters agree on who that winner should be.
Ahead of Sunday's big show, here is how the race is shaping up in the movie/miniseries categories:
Outstanding Miniseries or Movie
"Behind the Candelabra" Conventional Wisdom, Fan Favorite
"American Horror Story: Asylum"
"Top if the Lake" Critics Choice
"Behind the Candelabra" was a smash hit for HBO and a ratings record. Emmy voters love its A-list cast, its big screen production and its industry-related subject matter. But critics contend the "Top of the Lake" was a more daring, complex show that truly took advantage of the television medium.
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Miniseries or a Movie
Jessica Lange, "American Horror Story: Asylum" Fan Favorite
Laura Linney, "The Big C: Hereafter"
Helen Mirren, "Phil Spector"
Elisabeth Moss, "Top of the Lake" Critics Choice
Sigourney Weaver, "Political Animals" Conventional Wisdom
Sigourney Weaver as a Hillary Clinton-like politician is a casting choice too brilliant for Emmy voters to resist, even if the fans weren't there and were watching "American Horror Story" instead. But when critics rave about "Top of the Lake," Elisabeth Moss's performance is usually the first thing they rave about. They'll be bummed if she is snubbed for this and "Mad Men."
Outstanding Lead Actor in a Miniseries or a Movie
Michael Douglas, "Behind The Candelabra" Fan Favorite, Conventional Wisdom, Critics Choice
Matt Damon, "Behind the Candelabra "
Toby Jones, "The Girl"
Benedict Cumberbatch, "Parade's End"
Al Pacino, "Phil Spector"
Matt Damon was fantastic in "Behind the Candelabra;" his performance matched the excellence of Michael Douglas'. But Douglas is the more established actor, playing the bigger star, in a trickier role, so he wins what is otherwise a tossup.
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Miniseries or a Movie
Sarah Paulson, "American Horror Story: Asylum" Critics Choice, Fan Favorite, Conventional Wisdom
Imelda Staunton, "The Girl"
Ellen Burstyn, "Political Animals"
Charlotte Rampling, "Restless"
Alfre Woodard, "Steel Magnolias"
No big names stand out in this category, so Sarah Paulson wins by default of being on the buzziest show of those on the list. Critics approved of her performance and so did "American Horror Story" fans.
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Miniseries or a Movie
James Cromwell, "American Horror Story: Asylum" Conventional Wisdom, Fan Favorite
Zachary Quinto, "American Horror Story: Asylum"
Scott Bakula, "Behind The Candelabra"
John Benjamin Hickey, "The Big C: Hereafter"
Peter Mullan, "Top Of The Lake" Critics Choice
The "American Horror Story" actors have the advantage in this category. The one who deserves the award depends on whom you ask, though James Cromwell appears to have just a little more momentum behind him. But critics will still be rooting for "Top of the Lake" entry in this category.