As is usually the case, the nominations for the 2013 Primetime Emmys delivered a fair share of snubs, surprises and predictably safe choices. When it comes to picking the big winner in each category, the same is likely to follow, and rarely do fans, critics and Emmy voters just agree who that winner should be.
Ahead of Sunday's big show, here is how the race is shaping up in the comedy division:
"30 Rock" Fan Favorite
"The Big Bang Theory"
"Louie" Critics Choice
"Modern Family" Conventional Wisdom
While its last season wasn't its best, "30 Rock" still went out a strong note, something plenty of other shows (ahem, "The Office") proved is not easy to do. Critics would like to see "Louie" get the credit it deserves for its ground-breaking storytelling, but fear that the Emmy love affair with "Modern Family will continue – with three Outstanding Series awards already under the show's belt – despite the show's decline in quality.
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy
Laura Dern, "Enlightened" Critics Choice
Lena Dunham, "Girls"
Edie Falco, "Nurse Jackie"
Tina Fey, "30 Rock"
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, "Veep" Conventional Wisdom
Amy Poehler, "Parks and Recreation" Fan Favorite
Critics will tell you what a crime it is that "Enlightened" was canceled and that its star Laura Dern deserves another chance. However, considering how much "Veep" improved in its second season, it's hard to imagine Emmy voters not giving Julia Louis-Dreyfus, last year's winner, another trophy for it.
Meanwhile, the fact that the beloved Amy Poehler has not received an Emmy yet for "Parks and Recreation" is likely a shock to anyone who watches the show.
Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy
Alec Baldwin, "30 Rock"
Jason Bateman, "Arrested Development" Fan Favorite
Louis CK, "Louie" Critics Choice, Conventional Wisdom
Don Cheadle, "House of Lies"
Matt LeBlanc, "Episodes"
Jim Parsons, "The Big Bang Theory"
While the critically-adored "Louie" may not be able to snag the big Outstanding Series prize, its growing presence among the categories ( six nominations this year compared to last year's three), shows that Emmy voters have likely warmed up to Louis CK and the show. This is also the only non-creative Emmy category recognizing the revival of "Arrested Development," which became a cult classic since its initial 2006 cancellation but had critics split on the merits of its fourth season.
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy
Mayim Bialik, "The Big Bang Theory"
Jane Lynch, "Glee"
Julie Bowen, "Modern Family" Conventional Wisdom
Merritt Wever, "Nurse Jackie"
Jane Krakowski, "30 Rock" Fan Favorite, Critics Choice
Anna Chlumski, "Veep"
Sofia Vergara, "Modern Family"
For the same befuddling reasons "Modern Family" keeps winning Outstanding Series, Julie Bowen looks like she will three-peat her Supporting Actress run (To be fair, the show's lackluster recent seasons have more to do with its writing than any weaknesses in the acting).
Fans and critics would agree it's nothing short of a travesty Jane Krakowski has never won for her Jenna Maroney and this year is her last chance.
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy
Adam Driver, "Girls"
Jesse Tyler Ferguson, "Modern Family" Conventional Wisdom
Ed O'Neill, "Modern Family"
Ty Burrell, "Modern Family"
Bill Hader, "Saturday Night Live"
Tony Hale, "Veep" Fan Favorite, Critics Choice
Tony Hale's character in "Veep" is basically a less pathetic version of the character he plays on "Arrested Development," but he's so gosh-darn funny in both, neither critics nor fans really care. "Modern Family" has an imposing presence in the category, so if Emmy voters don't give it to Jesse Tyler Ferguson, his show colleagues Ed O'Neill and Ty Burrell also stand a chance.