But Kondik says special elections are just that – special.
"The circumstances of these special elections are just really strange a lot of the time," he says. "The issues in this race were not national ones, they were about Sanford's personal conduct. I would definitely caution against trying to take national lessons from this race."
Both say that even if Colbert Busch wins, Republicans would still be favored to win back the seat in 2014.