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What's in Store for the Housing Market in 2012?

Tanking home prices are likely to level off

December 20, 2011 RSS Feed Print

"There's a real potential there for rising rates in the early part of the year," Findlay adds.

Rising rents. The foreclosure crisis has converted millions of previous homeowners to renters and many would-be homebuyers have continued to stay on the sidelines and rent, waiting for prices to "hit bottom" before jumping into the housing market fray.

With more demand comes rising rents, a trend already being seen in many metro areas across the nation. Ultimately that can be a good thing for the housing market, since it generally tips more people into buying homes.

[Read: Let It Snow: Housing Market Heats Up.]

"Rising rents have traditionally been a good factor for home sales," says Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors.

Also, with rental demand heightened, real estate investors' ears have perked up. With prices in many metro areas at historic lows, investors are taking advantage and scooping up properties to convert into rentals, Yun says.

Home sales pick up. The end sum of all these factors is an expected uptick in existing and new home sales next year. "There are so many improving factors that support home sales that we are calling for about a 5 percent increase in [existing] home sales in 2012 over 2011," Yun says.

New home sales should also see an even bigger bump between 10 and 15 percent, Yun says, because the inventory of new constructions is so low. "The builders will be ramping up production," he says.

mhandley@usnews.com

Twitter: @mmhandley

Tags:
housing,
housing market,
mortgages

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Cant agree more. I live in West Coast FL. Looking at rental vs buying with a standard 20 percent down mortgage there is no difference. Ok so they say the tax advantage. My question is how do you make money by paying the bank interest, the state property tax, maintenance and a 6 percent commission at time of sale. My theory tax deducations don't equal homw equity profits. The issue too is a more mobile society with home ownership at 5 yrs not 30 like our parents.

Brian of FL 8:47AM February 28, 2012

HEY.....Rico("Rich")....WHAT are you talking about?!! You refer to the "banks and their idiot republican allies try to kill the economy to get power"...who has been on the clock for over the past 3 years and most of them with a "donkey" run house and senate??? Wake up!!!...the one's in charge are the one's bailing out the banks. Who do you think runs the economy or wrote the "Dodd/Frank" BS that will further cripple our recovery and prosperity for years to come????....Wake up "donkey boy"!! To the mass....vote for whatever Republican wins! I don't know about you,...but this whole "Time For A Change" wasn't the change I was looking for!

Mortgage "BROKE"-er of AZ 11:45AM January 05, 2012

Sorry to burst everyones bubble, but the bottom of the housing market will be after the rates rise then stop at the point of which they will not rise further. The difference between 1 point on a $100,000 loan is a hundred bucks to your payment. And on a $400,000 loan that would be a extra $400 bucks, just because the rate went up 1 point. And if rates go up to 9% from 5% on a $400,000 loan that would increase your payment by $1,600. a month. Unless we all get significant raises at work, then the housing market will have to go down even more in order for people to be able to afford to buy them. We would be lucky if the rates stopped going up once it hit 9%. In the early 1980's rates were at 13% . You will not find the bottom of the housing market with historically low rates. Part of the bubble is the rates. interest rates and housing prices usually have an inverse relationship. interest rate=risk+economic return+real interest rate. for interest rates to be this low, one of those factors is negative. and i would suspect that right now the bankers don't know who will actually be employed six months from now. that dries up credit for the creditworthy. lowering the interest rate created this bubble.

naph of WA 10:39PM December 24, 2011

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