Republican Rand Paul has opened up a lead over Democrat Jack Conway in two polls. A Pulse Opinion Research survey for Fox News shows Paul leading Conway 50 percent to 43 percent among likely voters. Also, 56 percent said their Senate vote will show their opposition to Obama. The Democratic Public Policy Polling survey released today shows Paul with a 13 point lead over Conway, 53 percent to 40 percent. Paul has a 39 point lead among independents, with 66 percent supporting him and 27 percent backing Conway. The same poll found Obama's approval rating at 34 percent in the state.
Maryland's 1st House District
First-term Democratic Rep. Frank Kratovil and Republican Andy Harris are tied, each taking 40 percent among likely voters, according to a Baltimore Sun poll. The poll shows 14 percent of voters remain undecided. The pair fought for the same seat two years ago and Kratovil won by less than 1 percent of the vote.
New York's 20th House District
First-term Democrat Murphy is trailing Republican Chris Gibson by 9 points, according to a Siena College Research Institute poll released today. Gibson leads Murphy 51 percent to 42 percent among likely voters. Gibson leads among independents, 49 percent to 42 percent. The same poll last month showed Murphy, who took Kirsten Gillibrand's seat when she became Senator in 2009, with a 17 point lead over Gibson. Fifty-six percent of likely voters in the district have an unfavorable opinion of Obama, who won therewith 51 percent of the vote in 2008. However, the district backed Bush in 2004.
Republican Pat Toomey has opened up an eight point lead over Democratic Rep. Joe Sestak, according to a Muhlenberg College/Morning Call poll released today. Sestak trails Toomey 40 percent to 48 percent, with 12 percent undecided. The same poll yesterday showed the pair virtually tied, with Toomey edging Sestak just within the poll's 5 percent margin of error.
West Virginia Senate
Democratic Gov. Joe Manchin and Republican John Raese are virtually tied, according to a Pulse Opinion Research survey for Fox News. Raese narrowly leads Manchin 48 percent to 46 percent among likely voters, with a 3 percent margin of error. Obama's approval rating in the state is 29 percent, according to the same poll. Sixty-nine percent approve of the job Manchin is doing as governor, but 54 percent of likely voters say Manchin too often agrees with Obama on issues.
Three-term Democrat Feingold is trailing businessman Ron Johnson 46 percent to 53 percent among likely voters, according to a Rasmussen poll released today. In addition to Johnson's seven point lead, the survey found 1 percent of likely voters are undecided.