Mississippi's 1st District
First-term Democrat Childers trails Republican Alan Nunnelee, 39 percent to 44 percent among likely voters, the Hill/Penn Schoen Berland poll found with a 4.9 percent margin of error. The study also shows 63 percent disapprove of Obama and 71 percent said the president will be an important factor when they cast their votes. McCain won this district in 2008 with 62 percent of the vote.
New Hampshire's 1st House District
Two-term Democrat Shea-Porter lags behind Republican Frank Guinta 42 percent to 49 percent among likely voters with a 4.9 percent margin of error, according to the Hill/Penn Schoen Berland poll. The survey found that 95 percent of Republicans say they will definitely vote compared to 89 percent of Democrats. The district voted for Obama in 2008 but supported Bush in 2004.
Republican Rob Portman holds a 55 percent to 34 percent lead over Democratic Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher among likely voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. In addition to Portman's 21 point lead, the survey found that among likely Ohio voters, 44 percent to 34 percent want the Republicans to take control of the Senate, and 54 percent to 40 percent want their next Senator to oppose Obama's policies.
Rep. Joe Sestak and Republican Pat Toomey are heading into their debate tonight in a statistical tie, according to a Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call poll released today. Sestak holds a narrow three point lead over Toomey, 44 percent to 41 percent among likely voters, with a 5 percent margin of error. Of those surveyed, 15 percent are undecided about who they will vote for. The poll also found that 44 percent of likely voters would choose the Republican candidate while 39 percent would pick the Democrat. Obama's approval rating is 42 percent, according to the study. The candidates will debate tonight in Philadelphia.
Pennsylvania's 4th House District
Two-term Democrat Altmire had a 12 point lead over Republican Keith Rothfus, 47 percent to 35 percent among likely voters, according to a Susquehanna Polling & Research survey released today. However, the president's disapproval rating is 56 percent in this district, which voted for John McCain over Obama 55 percent to 44 percent.
Pennsylvania's 8th House District
Two-term Democratic Rep. Patrick Murphy and Republican former Rep. Michael Fitzpatrick are in a statistical tie, according to the Hill/Penn Schoen Berland poll. Murphy edges Fitzpatrick 46 percent to 43 percent among likely voters, with 10 percent undecided. Murphy and Fitzpatrick fought against each other in another close race for this seat in 2006, and Murphy won by 1,500 votes. Obama won this district in 2008 with 54 percent of the vote.
Pennsylvania's 10th House District
Democratic two-term Carney and Republican Thomas Marino are tied, each taking 41 percent among likely voters according to the Hill/Penn Schoen Berland poll. However, 16 percent remain undecided. The poll also found that 59 disapprove of President Obama and 80 percent don't like the job Congress is doing. McCain won this district in 2008 with 54 percent of the vote.
Democratic Sen. Patty Murray and Republican Dino Rossi are in a statistical dead heat, according to a McClatchy-Marist poll. Murray takes a one point lead, edging Rossi 48 percent to 47 percent among likely voters, with a 4 percent margin of error. Murray's lead was larger among registers voters, 47 percent to 42 percent. Obama's job approval and disapproval ratings are relatively even, with 48 percent approving and 46 percent disapproving of the job he is doing as president. Obama won Washington in 2008 with 58 percent of the vote, 18 percentage points above McCain. The president is travelling to Washington today to campaign for Murray.