President Obama and first lady Michelle Obama campaigned together at Ohio State University yesterday for Ohio Democratic Gov. Ted Strickland, who is struggling in the polls. Hoping to motivate Democrats in the final two weeks before the 2010 election, Michelle Obama asked the crowd whether they were as fired up now as they were two years ago. A new poll today suggests many of them may not be. And, endangered Democratic incumbent Sens. Michael Bennet of Colorado and Harry Reid of Nevada are in statistical ties with their GOP challengers. There is a bright spot for Democrats, however, in New York's 25th congressional district. Here is the latest poll roundup:
An AP-Knowledge Networks poll released today shows 67 percent (about two-thirds) of John McCain voters are certain to vote in the 2010 election, compared to only 51 percent of Obama voters. The same study indicated that the majority of Obama voters (59 percent) feel "hopeful" about Obama's presidency, while the majority of McCain voters (71 percent) feel "frustrated." The poll also shows that 30 percent of Obama voters think he is maintaining his promise to change Washington. And, about 25 percent of Obama voters say they are thinking about voting for the GOP in 2010.
A Gallup Poll released today shows that 66 percent of Republicans think the federal government "poses an immediate threat to the rights and freedoms of ordinary citizens" in 2010 compared to 21 percent of Democrats. However, the same poll found the opposite results when George W. Bush was president. In 2006, 57 percent of Democrats saw the federal government as a threat compared to 21 percent of Republicans. The overall percentage of Americans who agree has shifted only 2 percentage points in the four years, with 46 percent of Americans viewing the government as a threat in 2010.
The Senate race in Colorado is in a statistical tie, according to a Saturday Rasmussen Poll. Republican Ken Buck holds a slight 47 percent to 45 percent edge over incumbent Sen. Michael Bennet, with a 4 point margin of error and 4 percent of likely voters undecided. Two weeks ago, the same poll showed Buck leading Bennet 50 to 45 percent, also with a 4 point margin of error.
A Sunday Rasmussen Poll shows 47 year incumbent Democratic Sen. Daniel Inouye leading Republican and former state Rep. Cam Cavasso 53 percent to 40 percent among likely voters. Inouye, who is seeking a ninth Senate term, is popular in the state. The same poll shows 70 percent of voters have a favorable opinion of Inouye, and 61 percent approve of the job the president is doing, while 38 percent disapprove. Obama won Hawaii, his native state, with 72 percent of the vote in 2008.
Republican Sharron Angle and Democratic Majority Leader Sen. Harry Reid are still in a statistical dead heat, according to a Rasmussen poll released today. Angle narrowly leads Reid 50 percent to 47 percent among likely voters with a 4 point margin of error. Early voting in Nevada began on Saturday.
New York's 25th District
First-term incumbent Rep. Dan Maffei has a 12 point lead over Republican Ann Marie Buerkle, according to a Syracuse Post-Standard/Siena College Research Institute poll released Sunday. Before Maffei was elected in 2008, the 25th District, which includes Syracuse, was represented by a Republican for 18 years. Obama won 56 percent of the vote there in 2008. Maffei leads Buerkle 51 percent to 39 percent among likely voters, and 50 percent to 39 percent among Independents. The same poll found Maffei with a 50 percent favorability rating and Buerkle with 33 percent. Voters indicated that Maffei would do a better job representing them on issues like jobs, the federal deficit, the Afghanistan war, and healthcare. However, the same poll found voters split evenly on whether to implement the healthcare reform law.