Online Retirement Calculators: Hit and Miss

But figuring how big a nest egg you’ll need can be a wake-up call

By Kerry Hannon

Posted: December 8, 2008

4. Pump up your replacement income level. It's tricky to estimate how much income you'll need in retirement, usually expressed as a percentage of your current income. Financial planners have long championed setting aside enough to generate 70 to 80 percent of preretirement income. But some advisers now think that's low. "Very few people spend less in retirement," says financial planner Marc Schindler of Pivot Point Advisors in Bellaire, Texas. "People are living longer. They have more time to spend money in retirement, and healthcare costs are rising." He advises planning to spend just above 100 percent of current gross income.

Yet Laurence Kotlikoff, an economics professor at Boston University who has developed his own tool, ESPlanner (available at esplanner.com for $149), contends that "the calculators have so many assumptions that they are dangerous. The financial industry is interested in scaring you into thinking you won't have enough money, and then they offer to help you get there by selling you investments. It's a form of financial malpractice."

5. Watch for sales pitches. Financial services company websites are full of ads for setting up an IRA account or purchasing mutual funds. But there are few shortcuts in retirement planning. Try different calculators, and if you're ready to retool your retirement plan, start by asking friends for references of trusted advisers or consult groups like the Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards.

Above all, take control of your retirement finances. As Dartmouth's Lusardi says, "Doing nothing is simply not a good idea in this economy."

Optimal Retirement Planner

The Green calculator entry above is correct in that most of the free calculators on the Web are useless because they are all using the same formulas, but in different ways. However, the 3 Green Calculators are as limited as the rest because they are overly simplistic and don't show the total retirement picture.

One different calculator that does consider the entire picture is http://i-orp.com.

ORP models the progressive Federal income tax code and produces an optimal withdrawal schedule from all retirement savings accounts (IRA, Roth IRA and Tax-deferred.

James Welch of NV @ Oct 07, 2009 16:19:23 PM

Green Retirement Calculator

Retirement calculators, with the exception of the new Green Retirement Calculator, are worthless. Worse than worthless, they are misleading, and cause individuals to save more than is necessary and work many years longer.

The reason they are worthless, is because they are all based on the same worthless formula, for calculating retirement savings needs - your salary. Your salary is irrelevant when it comes to calculating how much savings you need for retirement.

How much savings you need for retirement is determined by how much you will spend in retirement. The new Green Retirement Calculator does just that, it calculates how much savings you need, by how much you will spend in retirement. You can compare the worthless Traditional method vs. the Green method at the Green Retirement website.

http://www.iplanretirement.com

The good news for individuals who have recently lost large sums in the stock and housing markets, is that they don't need as much as they believe to successfully retire, and in many cases will not have to delay their retirement.

Ramsay of CA @ Dec 09, 2008 11:33:52 AM

Retirement Prospects

An earnest caveat!

A recommendation is to read the book, "WHEN I'M 64" by Theresa Ghilarducci, formerly a professor of Economics at Notre Dame, now a professor at the New School of Social Research(?) in NYC. We met recently, and I think she is well informed. The WSJ has made positive commentary on her testimony in Congress, and I feel she is right on. It is an enlightening treatise on how our Defined Benefit Plans and Social Security will (or have) let us down.

As an 80-year old retiree who has had two Monte Carlo simulation studies done ten years ago, let me say the article commentary regarding estimated rate of earnings on investments, income needed or desired after retirement, inflation, etc., have mostly been under-estimated by the various consultants, so be aware, and do several different studies. Remember, "statistics are like are like a bikini, what they show is often interesting, but what they cover up is usually vital."

Don of CA @ Dec 08, 2008 14:09:48 PM

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