Build a Sturdy Retirement Portfolio

By Katy Marquardt

Posted: July 8, 2008

Hedging stock-market risk. Near-term fluctuations in the stock market don't mean much for young investors with a half century of compounding growth ahead of them. But the danger for investors in retirement is the prospect of having to sell holdings in a market downdraft. "The worse thing you can do is lock in that loss by cashing out," says Dimitriou.

Tom McGuigan, a Connecticut-based financial planner with Burns Advisory Group, says the firm has come up with a strategy to solve that issue: a five-year cushion. "We carve out the next five years' worth of income needs from the portfolio," says McGuigan. "Let's pretend an investor needs to draw $50,000 a year from the portfolio. We multiply that by five years and set it aside in a fixed-income portfolio that's more stable and won't fluctuate as wildly as stocks."

The rest of the investor's money goes into a diversified portfolio of stocks funds and real estate. "What we've done is bought ourselves time—five full years to let the stock market do what it does. Meanwhile, the investor is sitting on five years of stable investments."

Staying diversified. Since different types of stocks take turns leading the market—and those shifts are largely unpredictable—it makes sense to keep your retirement portfolio stocked with funds representing a variety of investing styles and company sizes. "There should be a wide range of asset classes, the idea being that we don't know ahead of time which will outperform, so you need exposure to them all," says Barnes.

For the portion of your portfolio devoted to stocks, he recommends allocating 60 percent of assets to large companies, 30 percent to small and midsize companies, and 10 percent to emerging markets. "We no longer differentiate between foreign and domestic stocks—globalization has reached the point where it's getting too difficult to draw hard lines," Barnes says.

Shoot for variety not only in company sizes but also in investing styles: Hold funds that specialize in fast-growing companies, as well as those that focus on finding undervalued firms (some funds invest in a combination of both).

When it comes to your bond money, Barnes suggests keeping 20 percent of assets in high-yield bonds, 20 percent in foreign bonds, and the balance in investment-grade IOUs.

Common Mistakes of Investors

One of the most common mistakes of investors in to incorrectly under-estimate the anticipated consumption rate of the retirement fund. Inflation is a key factor that plays into accurately calculating how long funds will last. Faliure to consider all these factors is a mistake that can easily be avoid through proper diversification. The risks may not be as readily visible to a client portfolio value but the corrosive effects of inflation are very real risk factors all the same.

Jack Lane of CA @ Mar 10, 2009 20:34:51 PM

inflation in retirement

I am unsure about how to estimate the inflation of medical costs in retirement. I plan to retire in the next year or so,and have a good handle on what my expenses will be in the first year or so. Should I go 4%, 8%, 12%?

SaraBee of FL @ Oct 04, 2008 14:07:06 PM

This is one of many articles written to scare you. Remember good news doesn't sell advertising. Inflation should be a concern for retires but there is no reason to panic. The article fails to point out that, notwithstanding medical costs, retirement expenses tend to decrease with age. A recent study shows how median per capita household expenditures falls with age, declining from $17,409 per person at ages 53 to 64, to $15,414 at ages 65 to 74, to $13,678 at ages 75 and older. See: http://www.urban.org/UploadedPDF/411130_expenditure_patterns.pdf

This decrease in your expenses as you age will counteract some of the effect of inflation.

The article also does point out forcefully enough (for my taste) that by having more invested in stocks, you are taking on significantly more risk. Sure high returns are great, but not at the risk of losing a significant portion of your nest egg.

Given these two points, while it might be prudent to evaluate your current exposure to stocks and consider an increase if your exposure is low, I don't think you need to panic about inflation and be as agressive as this article suggest.

Jonathan D. Edelfelt

Author of Who Said You Need Millions? Retirement Strategies for the Rest of Us

www.WhoSaidYouNeedMillions.com

Jonathan Edelfelt of TX @ Jul 09, 2008 21:53:53 PM

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