6 Things You Need to Know About Fannie and Freddie

By Luke Mullins

Posted: July 11, 2008

A Freddie Mac sign sits in front of its headquarters in McLean, Virginia. Shares in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have dropped to their lowest levels in 17 years.

A Freddie Mac sign sits in front of its headquarters in McLean, Virginia. Shares in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have dropped to their lowest levels in 17 years.

Yardeni says that it will take some form of government action to restore investor confidence in Fannie and Freddie. The odds of such intervention is "100 percent," he says. "The market isn't making up its mind—it's made up its mind," Yardeni says. But banking consultant Bert Ely isn't convinced that government action is imminent. "None of the policy options are attractive," Ely says. "There are not that many and they are not that attractive."

What are the government's options?
Jaret Seiberg, a research analyst for the Stanford Group, says that the most likely approach to a government bailout of Fannie or Freddie would involve the Fed buying GSE-issued debt. In addition to providing the company with immediate liquidity, the move would give Congress time to write legislation authorizing the government to make a capital injection in exchange for equity or warrants. The government would then sell the equity stake when the company returns to health. "As we saw with Bear Stearns, a financial firm can get into fatal trouble very quickly. That means there would not be time for Congress to pass a traditional rescue package," Seiberg said in a report. "So a troubled enterprise would need short-term liquidity help to hold it over until Congress can infuse it with long-term capital."

Other rescue options include a Bear Stearns-like approach, in which a private equity firm agrees to buy the company with government support, or an outright nationalization of Fannie or Freddie. Although nationalization cannot be ruled out, Seiberg sees several problems it. "In our view, it will be tough to get Congress to impose a full faith and credit guarantee on GSE debt. Too many conservatives would object," Seiberg says. "In addition, we believe Treasury would likely object for fear that it would raise the government's borrowing costs.

common vs bonds

If you have common shares in this company you are doomed but if you have bonds their yield is about 25%. So thats 25,000 per year on 100,000.The way I see it is that they have to pay these high yiels rates to keep tens of billions being pulled out of the bonds side. A guy might take a risk and pull his 100 grand and then buy common shares at these almost bankrupt levels around.80 cents per share. They were at $ 68 at one time. So with 100,000 I can buy 128,000 shares . Assuming these went back up to a 25% increase at .80 thats only a $ 1.00 per share which ='s the 25% yrly yield .But if the shares ever climbed back to $ 8.00 / share in the future then you would stand to make 10 x your money or a million dollars on your $100,000 which would take 20 years at 25% yeilds which will rop in the future as the company becomes solvent again. Even if the Moslem idiot gets in and he does get the long term capital gains increased, the sorry jerk , then you would still clear making half a million. But ,now you risk the chance of losing your 100 grand if the stocks go to zero.I don't think they will do that. People like me will probably buy and that will help bring the common shares back up. Personally I'm going to risk it.And if Fannie goes under then the whole world economy is going to probably collapse so whats the difference.

William Mc Farland of OK @ Sep 12, 2008 04:06:16 AM

FNMA

This is my daughter's tuition money. She is an out of stste student so tuition is high. She lost 10 % yesterday. Do I sell or wait for the federal government to come to the rescue ?

HELP !

KW

KW of FL @ Jul 16, 2008 18:49:17 PM

i

f

they have 5 trillion out @ 5%=$250 billion in revenue..

of @ Jul 16, 2008 14:01:36 PM

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