Worried consumers are a troubling part of the economy's deflationary dip today.
The 1 percent drop in the Consumer Price Index, both larger than Wall Street expected and the largest drop since the Labor Department started tracking the data in 1947, came thanks to weak sales of new and used cars, apparel and lodging spending. That says we're holding back on big-ticket items, everyday purchases and travel heading into the holiday season. It's also some fairly strong evidence for the death of enduring notion of the "resilient American consumer."
Yesterday, Merrill Lynch warned it'll get worse:
Moreover, we are just at the start of the deflation story. Our tracking of the November price reports so far indicates even deeper price declines for import prices right on down the line to the end consumer.
Extra: Tim Iacono has some thoughts on why the deflation/inflation debate gets a bit, er, inflated (via Seeking Alpha).
Mike C. of DE @ Nov 19, 2008 14:49:20 PM
of @ Nov 19, 2008 11:33:48 AM
Ray Fisher of NM @ Nov 19, 2008 11:04:51 AM