The Inside Job

Jobless Claims and the Madness of Numbers

By Liz Wolgemuth

Posted: March 19, 2009

Jobless claims--the weekly measure of first-time applications for unemployment benefits--dropped by 12,000 last week to 646,000. The drop is good, but there are other numbers that would seem troubling: nearly 5.5 million people continued to collect unemployment in the week ended March 7--a record high topping previous weeks of record highs.

Also, the four-week moving average of continuing claims hit a record high of nearly 5.3 million.

But remember that the scope of our labor force is huge--about 154 million, or double what it was in the late 1960s--and no one would argue that our job market isn't lousy. That means you can probably expect to set absolute number records when it comes to data such as jobless claims.

It's probably more useful to look at the insured unemployment rate. That jumped 0.2 percentage points to 4.1 percent. It's the highest since 1982. Not great--but also not Great Depression.

Make 'em look good

The Dept. of Labor keeps unemployment figures in various slots.

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.t12.htm

Probably U-5 or U-6 would be what your average person on the street would regard as real unemployment. I wonder what they used during the Great Depression? Did they have spin doctors back then?

Luther of IL @ Mar 19, 2009 22:50:38 PM

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The Inside Job

The Inside Job

You're taking a break from your job-hunting and job-hopping ways and have decided to stay put in your current position. Liz Wolgemuth’s careers blog will show you how to make the very best of your job, each day.

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