The Home Front

Foreclosure Epidemic Reaching More Expensive Homes

By Luke Mullins

Posted: October 16, 2009

A recent report by a congressional oversight panel highlighted the changing nature of the housing crisis by suggesting that the Obama administration's sweeping anti-foreclosure initiative might not be suited to address the mortgage delinquency epidemic as it exists today. The initial portion of the foreclosure mess was triggered in large part by over-leveraged borrowers who got in over their heads with resetting mortgage products and homes they couldn't really afford. But today, as the unemployment rate heads for 10 percent, a growing number of borrowers with good credit are heading into foreclosure after losing their jobs. However, the Obama administration's housing rescue "was not designed to address foreclosures caused by unemployment, which now appears to be a central cause of nonpayment," the panel said in the October 9 report. "The foreclosure crisis has moved beyond subprime mortgages and into the prime mortgage market. It increasingly appears that [the Obama administration's housing rescue] is targeted at the housing crisis as it existed six months ago, rather than as it exists right now."

[Check out Obama's Loan Modification Plan: 7 Things You Need to Know]

Last week, real estate company Zillow released some figures that further demonstrate the troubling evolution of the housing crisis, as an increasing number of upper-tier homes are now heading into foreclosure. At the peak of the real estate market back in 2006, homes in the top third of the property value spectrum made up just 16 percent of foreclosures nationwide, Zillow says. But by July of this year, this most expensive segment of the market accounted for 30 percent of home foreclosures. "That means that top-tier homes make up almost twice the proportion of foreclosures as they did just three years ago," Zillow Chief Economist Stan Humphries said in a statement accompanying the data.

[See Why Obama's Housing Rescue Hasn't Prevented Record Foreclosures]

Meanwhile, home foreclosures at the lower end of the market are trending in just the opposite direction. Properties in the bottom third of the home value spectrum represented 55 percent of all foreclosures in 2006, but just 35 percent in July. Humphries believes the trend reflects a significant change in the types of mortgages that are going bad these days. "High delinquency rates in Prime, Alt-A and Option ARM mortgage products and declining cure rates (the rate at which borrowers resolve their delinquency status) are resulting in many more foreclosures among borrowers outside of the sub-prime mortgage market (and in higher priced segments of the market)," he said.

While subprime borrowers are still a factor in the current foreclosure epidemic, it's becoming increasingly apparent that the labor market is the driving force behind the mortgage crisis we face today. Mounting job losses are turning once-well qualified buyers of high-priced homes into foreclosure victims.

From Zillow.com:

If the shoe was on the other foot

I'm sure that if Don Detich's home had gone up $140,000 in value in the last three years he would not plan on sharing any of the profits with the bank so why should the bank share his loss. He made a commitment to buy a home. Nobody forced him. In California we have all seen our equity disappear. What if we all decided to abandon our homes? Its the Don Detrichs of the world that is keeping this crisis going and delaying a recovery.

LMC of CA @ Nov 13, 2009 16:15:45 PM

why should he stay?

Why should Don Detrich stay? Why should he pay for a home that is worth over a $100,000 less than when he bought it 3 years ago. Does "manning up" mean that he is supposed to be financial idiot? If the shoe was on the other foot, and it was the mortgage company that made the investment and lost, they would certainly cut their losses and go into foreclosure as is their option. Oh wait, thats right, the banks and mortgage companies will just wait for the government to bail them out of their bad investments. And that means the taxpayers! Including Don Detrich. What I would like to know is why its ok to bail out the banks, but the middle class sucker gets no relief. He even gets other peoples judgement when he decides to exercise his options. The mortgage company should be forced to renegotiate the principal of this loan. The shareholders should insist on the mortgage company making a financial decision which saves them money and helps keep another home of the foreclosure list!

Constance Scalese of AZ @ Oct 20, 2009 15:08:58 PM

Didn't your mother teach you not to be a shameless leech?

The banks and mortgage lenders get a lot of the blame for the housing situation, but the Don Detrichs of the world are equally responsible for the whole mess. If Don Detrich committed to paying $390,000 for a house, then why won't he man up and fulfill his commitment (especially when it sounds like his own financial situation hasn't changed and he can still afford to pay the $390,000)?

Peter of TX @ Oct 17, 2009 19:42:26 PM

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The Home Front

The Home Front

Associate Editor Luke Mullins tracks the treacherous housing market and explains how to unload a five-bedroom McMansion or even find that dream home.

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