Outside Voices: Small Business

A Venture Capitalist View of the Top 5 Entrepreneurial Energy Opportunities

By Steve King

Posted: August 18, 2009

Steve King

Steve King

Accel Partners is one of Silicon Valley's premier venture capital firms. Over the 25 years that it has been in business, Accel has funded way too many successful start-up companies to list here.

Accel is aggressively investing in energy-related start-ups and recently released Entrepreneurial Energy, a white paper covering its analysis of this market. The conclusion: Changes in the energy industry are creating a wide range of opportunities for small, entrepreneurial companies.

I caught up with Accel VCs Rich Wong and Craig Lawrence to discuss the energy sector and the white paper. They see five key energy areas as having the best small-business opportunities in the coming years:

Completing the Solar Ecosystem. The solar energy infrastructure is starting to take shape owing to heavy investment and government incentives. Building out and improving this infrastructure, especially around how residential solar energy is brought to market, will continue to be a fertile area for entrepreneurial companies.

The Energized, Green Consumer. Increasing consumer interest in reducing energy consumption and carbon footprints is creating demand for an array of green energy-related businesses. Energy monitoring, management, and control are areas that Accel considers especially rich with opportunity.

Energy Efficiency. Accel believes energy costs will continue to increase, driving demand for energy efficiency products and services. Because there has historically been little incentive to conserve, there are now conservation opportunities almost everywhere energy is used.

The Smart Grid. The vision of the smart grid has evolved from automated electricity meters to a complex information and communications network integrated into the electrical grid. Building out, managing, and making use of the data generated by the smart grid are all areas with opportunities for entrepreneurial companies.

Energy Storage. New ways of storing energy have the potential to fundamentally change how energy is generated, distributed, and used. New products and services will be required to realize this vision.

Accel's motto is the famous Louis Pasteur quote "Chance favors the prepared mind." Deep industry analysis is part of the "prepared mind" process. And thanks to the white papers, the rest of us can be better prepared.

Steve King is a partner at Emergent Research , where he leads an ongoing research project to identify, analyze, and forecast the global trends and shifts affe cting small business. He blogs at www.smallbizlabs.com.

No wonder things are do dismal... VC's are clueless.

That's the first conclusion I drew after reading the white paper. When it comes to technology these people are living in phantasy[sic] land.

Sure the points examined are valid and the conclusions bear some resemblance to truth, BUT, -- and this is a really big but -- THE PREMISES ARE WRONG. So the conlusions are worthless.

[quote]

This creates opportunities

for the rest of the solar ecosystem, which rides these trend

lines much as the IT industry has ridden memory and storage

cost/density curves and Moore’s Law for decades.

[/quote]

Moore's Law does not apply to PV! Moore's Law is from information theory the reasons are that data had 40 orders of magnitude to improve i.e. 10^40 is a huge number. While PV has already reached about 15% of perfection in Silicon and 40% in multijunction. Unless the industry can price the stuff cheaper than seawater there is little room left for improvement -- That conclusion is based on the laws of physics.

[quote]

“Balance of system” in solar is an area we have studied

intently, and believe there is strong opportunity for next generation

approaches.

As an example, the inverter is an interesting part of the system

for several reasons. First off, it’s the most despised part of the

chain, accounting for the majority of failures in the field and

stubbornly resisting cost reduction due to its Edison-era architecture.

As cell prices drop, the inverter’s share of system

cost rises, making it an increasingly important area of economic

focus and an increasingly attractive target for reinvention

by entrepreneurs.

[/quote]

This is a correct zero-sum-gain analysis of the other important component of a PV system. However the inverter is only about 1/5 to 1/6 of the equipment cost. And despite its Edisonian origins it represents a mature and well developed technology -- It there was room to shave the price then engineers would have done it years ago -- Oh wait, they did! Inverters went from $10-$15/Watt in the 1970's to <$1!

So Mr. VC, I think it's about time you knock that chip off your shoulder.

CTYankee of CT @ Aug 19, 2009 11:08:21 AM

Downloading the Accel white paper

If any readers would be interested in downloading the Accel white paper as describe above, you can do so at:

http://www.accel.com/news/news_one_up.php?news_id=245

Thank you Steve

Thank you

Rich Wong

Accel Partners

Rich Wong of CA @ Aug 18, 2009 23:34:55 PM

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