New Money

Greenspan: It's Not Just a Crunch, Folks; It's a 'Credit Tsunami'

By Katy Marquardt

Posted: October 23, 2008

Grab a life raft. Former Fed chief Alan Greenspan didn't mince words today when he characterized the financial crisis as a "once-in-a-century credit tsunami" in testimony before Congress.

What caused the tsunami and how policymakers can shimmy the country out of it were the focus of the House Committee of Government Oversight and Reform's hearing. Greenspan said he's in a "state of shocked disbelief" and admitted a flaw in his thinking about the free-market system. "I was going for 40 years or more on the perception that it was working well." (During his tenure, he opposed tight regulation of financial companies.) Today, he called for tighter regulation. He also said he was "partially wrong" about credit default swaps.

Here's the full text.

Paul Kedrosky of Infectious Greed says the most interesting point in the hearing was when Greenspan said: "The housing bubble became clear to me sometime in early 2006, as it was bursting, in retrospect. I did not forecast a significant decline because we have never had a significant decline in prices."

Kedrosky's translation: "Got that? Greenspan only noticed the housing bubble in 2006, as it was bursting, and his main reason for...thinking prices would not decline in the U.S. is because the U.S. has never had a significant decline."

Politico points out that there's been a big shift in thinking about Greenspan's role in the 1990s and the effect his monetary policy had on the credit meltdown. This NYT story on the Greenspan legacy is worth checking out.

Crisis Involves MONEY

I guess every crisis is about MONEY. Of course the impact is big that everyone could blame it on the bubble. I suspect bubble is created when something hits the profit, everyone rush for the same plan and profits, just like a trading company with many competitors.

There should be a system from the Government to investigate and to analyse how much money has been gone to certain industries and their rate of return to protect the interest of the public. As well as to define, how much is considered big? Of course, those who studied Master with topic Risk Management should come out with a solution. I wonder who create "Risk management / Risk analysis" as a subject in the education. Does it work? or does it just a gimmick in the education business?

Steven @ Oct 30, 2008 15:00:37 PM

Greenspen: The Greatest

Even when he explains what he said nobody can understand the explanation any better than they understood what was originally said.

HillbillyBill of TN @ Oct 24, 2008 08:15:25 AM

Yeah We know.

The REAL economy, here on the ground, has been predicting a bubble bust since 2004.

Didn't you see that home values were way beyond what folks make?

STUPID.

If I had known that putting my saving in a 401k meant that I could NEVER take it out, as I tried last October when I saw this coming, I would never have put my money there.

The only reason the stock market is still breathing is because folks like me can't take their hard-earned paychecks out. It's a HUGE ripoff.

From now on, take responsibility for your own money, if you ever have any again. That's why banks failed in the 30's, because people took back the responsibility for the care of their paychecks from the banks.

lisa of CA @ Oct 23, 2008 23:09:25 PM

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New Money

Katy Marquardt, a senior editor at U.S.News & World Report, takes a contemporary look at happenings in the financial world and aims to help young investors get going with their portfolios--or just sound cool at cocktail parties. Have a question? E-mail Katy at newmoney@usnews.com

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