New Money

Dow Below 10,000: A Psychological Downer

By Katy Marquardt

Posted: October 6, 2008

For the first time since 2004, the Dow Jones industrial average skidded below 10,000, a "psychological barrier," as some would say.

After the Dow first cracked 10,000 on March 30, 1999, Jeremy Siegel, a professor at the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School of Business, was asked why that barrier is significant:

It's arbitrary to the minute in terms of when you take the prices of the stocks. But all that aside, I don't deny the tremendous psychological impact of the Dow getting into the 10,000 area. It is the world's most famous average. It's the way people think about stocks and conceptualize the market. As a result, it has tremendous psychological import.

Today, Jonathan Berr of BloggingStocks waxed nostalgic about the days when "investors were as giddy as school girls when the leading stock market indicator crossed that once-unthinkable benchmark. Remember the Dow 10,000 hats? I bet the people who bought them along with other keepsakes of better times plan to unload them on eBay so they can fill up their tanks with gas."

Nine years after it hit the magic 10,000 mark, the Dow can't seem to shake it, MarketBeat points out:

The 30-stock average has had a funny history when it tries to add another digit onto the average. It first hit 100 in 1906, but fell below it during the Great Depression and last closed below the mark in 1943. A similar occurrence took place when the Dow first reached 1,000 in 1972—it took until 1983 before it left that figure behind. And 10,000 has proven to be just as daunting, as it is now nine-and-a-half years since the figure was first reached.

Yes, Virginia, We Are In A Depression!!!

The excesses of many years cannot be remedied overnight and to downplay events using such terms as correction, recession, etc... is foolhardy, we are in a DEPRESSION both financially and mentally. With our portfolios tanking we continue paying for the cell phones affixed to our heads, Ipods in our hands, MP3 players on our belts etc... how many people in America are complaining about the economy while continuing to waste money on toys??? The secret is to wake to reality before it becomes morose by adapting and overcoming in advance thereby averting personal upheaval. By simply eliminating the monthly fees on our gadgets and instead depositing that money into a savings account we can rebuild America's economy while protecting ourselves from financial disaster. We are in a depression as we have negative growth and hyper-inflation thus meeting the definition of a depression. By taking simple steps we can manage to make it through but EVERYONE MUST SACRIFICE!!!

Ray Fisher of NM @ Oct 07, 2008 10:46:59 AM

Test your courage`

It is quiet concerned by a large share of such stock. It is also same to some unrational investigators, what to do now?

So the overall physical impact might tightly relates to the population of random and unrational investigators. Meanwhile, such daunting might come from others like real state, CPI, or even the military operation. In a nutshell, normal people who composed the whole society are always fragile, maybe one stable government might relief their physical pressure. However, that's precisely the most difficult question.

Mirabelle of LA @ Oct 07, 2008 04:52:14 AM

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New Money

Katy Marquardt, a senior editor at U.S.News & World Report, takes a contemporary look at happenings in the financial world and aims to help young investors get going with their portfolios--or just sound cool at cocktail parties. Have a question? E-mail Katy at newmoney@usnews.com

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