New Money

The Lowdown on Bottom-Up Investing

By Katy Marquardt

Posted: August 7, 2008

Professional stock pickers—especially mutual-fund managers—often fall into one of two camps when it comes to investing: "bottom up" or "top down."

You may be able to figure out their meaning by name alone. Bottom-up investing emphasizes individual stock research, as opposed to the top-down strategy, which relies on big-picture analysis—such as the direction of the economy—to guide stock selection.

Notable bottom-up investors include Warren Buffett, who won't invest in a business he can't understand, and Peter Lynch, whose principle is "invest in what you know." Masters of the top-down approach include Ken Heebner and Tom Marsico. (Marsico technically uses a combination of both.)

Recently, I asked Sam Dedio, manager of the Julius Baer U.S. Smallcap fund, why he uses a bottom-up strategy in his $7 million portfolio. (Check out his small-cap stock pick here.)

Says Dedio: "I've always felt that you have an advantage if you can understand a company's product, technology, or the service it provides, and if you understand why anyone would want to buy that product earlier than other investors."

Handbag maker Coach is a good example. "If you had predicted Coach would broaden its demographic appeal and parlay that into sales growth, you would have had an advantage," he says.

What does this mean for investors who like to do their own stock picking? "I think individuals can make decent calls on consumer products if they're on the bell curve of mainstream and can find a product or service that changes behavior—and can recognize pop and fizz stories like Crocs," Dedio says.

Next week, I'll take a closer look at top-down investing from the perspective of an international fund manager who uses the approach to select countries.

Caveat

Understanding a company's product is fine, but it does not address the issue of timing.

We all understand Walmart. Now, anyway. Early investors in Walmart made fortunes. But even though the company has been doing more than fine every year, owning Walmart this decade has been a slow, slow, slow "adventure". Timing is everything, and the top-down people are more into that aspect.

Daniel David of NM @ Aug 07, 2008 13:34:31 PM

Thanks for giving a quick explanation of the two types of investing. Many times authors of educational finance/investing blogs assume that the readers know what all the terms mean. I really appreciate this entry.

Jessica of NJ @ Aug 07, 2008 13:28:35 PM

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New Money

Katy Marquardt, a senior editor at U.S.News & World Report, takes a contemporary look at happenings in the financial world and aims to help young investors get going with their portfolios--or just sound cool at cocktail parties. Have a question? E-mail Katy at newmoney@usnews.com

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