Rick Newman

What the Car Companies Want From Obama

By Rick Newman

Posted: January 13, 2009

Car buffs and political junkies are two separate breeds, with little overlap between the two. But Detroit has never seemed closer to Washington than at this year’s North American International Auto Show.

Most of the reasons are obvious: The federal government now owns a portion of GM and Chrysler, thanks to $14 billion in emergency loans to help them avert bankruptcy. A federal “car czar” will soon be appointed to oversee those loans and the two companies’ turnaround plans.

[See 4 myths from this year's Detroit auto show.]

Beyond that, the manic rise and fall of gas prices has left car buyers feeling whipsawed, and carmakers wondering if the government shouldn’t do something to make pump prices more stable. Perhaps most of all, auto executives sense that the incoming Barack Obama administration represents a chance to help retool energy and environmental policies in ways that might help their companies gain an edge – and reassert American leadership in the auto industry.

If you’re doing a doubletake – yes, this is unusual. Like most of their corporate brethren, auto executives typically dread federal scrutiny, and want government out of their business. But with a devastating recession and the near-collapse of the Detroit automakers, the times, they are a-changin’. Here are some of the surprising things Big Auto is hoping for from the Obama administration:

An increase in the gas tax. You heard this right. Energy experts have long insisted that it’s virtually impossible to develop alternatives to petroleum as long as gas is less than $2 per gallon. Raising the 18.4-cent federal tax on gas, they say, is one way to encourage conservation and make gasoline alternatives more appealing. And now that the automakers are sinking big bucks into new technology like electric propulsion systems and hydrogen fuel cells, their CEOs tend to agree.

[See the 12 most important cars of 2009.]

Bill Ford, executive chairman of Ford Motor Co., points out that ordinary R&D won’t be enough to gain widespread acceptance from consumers. “We’re going to need some help in the marketplace to generate demand for these new types of vehicles,” he says. GM CEO Rick Wagoner won’t come right out and endorse a gas tax, but he’s clear about the need for new ways to interest consumers in the electric-vehicle technology GM is pursuing. “The gas tax is highly political,” he says. “But almost every other country in the world has a fleet with higher fuel economy than in the United States, and almost none have done it with [gas-mileage] regulations. We really want to drive this technology, whether through a gas tax or other incentives.”

[See the cars that drove Detroit's customers away.]

Executives from Europe, where fuel taxes are much higher and pump prices are three to four times the levels here, are less shy about stating the virtues they see in higher gas taxes. “I would prefer if the government would offer support for environmentally friendly cars,” says Stefan Jacoby, CEO of Volkswagen of America. “The best way you can do that is a tax on fuel. When gas prices went down, all these sales of hybrids went down. I would encourage a tax credit [for hybrids] but also put a tax on fuel.”

A sympathetic car czar. One unstated fear of GM and Chrysler executives is that the soon-to-be-announced car czar will meddle deeply in their businesses and impose unrealistic demands. Which could happen. But a car czar could also be a boon for these troubled companies, especially if he or she helps build shared priorities between Detroit and Washington.

While GM Vice Chairman Bob Lutz was walking the floor at the Detroit auto show, he ran into a Ford Motor Co. executive who asked him sardonically if he was looking forward to dealing with the car czar. “Actually, I am,” Lutz answered. “We might actually have somebody in Washington we can talk to. We go to NHTSA* and they say, ‘we only write the rules.’ Then you go to this agency and that agency and then you go home and it’s like a Chinese dinner: You’re still hungry. Maybe the car czar will be a disaster. But if their job is really to make our industry sustainable, it could work to our advantage.”

What Lutz didn’t say is that for decades, the Detroit automakers have had a tight relationship with the Michigan Congressional delegation, which has long tailored fuel-economy standards and other regulations to their advantage. But that influence is waning, one reason a sympathetic car czar could end up being a friend to Detroit.

(*NHTSA is the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, which oversees safety and fuel-economy standards.)

[See how the feds will govern GM and Chrysler.]

A coherent energy policy. Up till now, there’s been nothing out of Washington that even vaguely resembles a national energy plan – and that was just fine with the automakers when they were minting money on big cars and SUVs. But many industry experts now believe that gas prices will rise again, perhaps well above $4 per gallon, and stay there – especially once the global economy rebounds.

[See the pros and cons of 8 green fuels.]

That’s why the race is on to develop new gasoline alternatives that will be affordable - when gasoline isn’t. But nobody knows what those new technologies will be, and for now, efforts are spread among electric powertrains, diesel, hydrogen, and various kinds of hybrids. Some kind of government policy could help consolidate research and build infrastructure for the most promising technology – as other countries, like Japan, have already done. “Other nations have played their hands differently, whether it’s industrial policy or the things that set the stage in Japan for hybrids,” says Larry Burns, GM’s technology chief. “Now, with the spotlight on the auto industry, people are listening a little bit differently.” If that's true, the next step would be for them to act a bit differently.

Emissions and MPG

Still think that improving the MPG on autos is a joke? Read today's news.

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Pamela Rainsong of FL @ Jan 26, 2009 15:40:12 PM

GM BAILOUT

RECENTLY ON THE HISTORY CHANNEL WE WATCHED A PROGRAM ABOUT THE COMPLETE SUBWAY THAT LIES UNDER LOS ANGELES. IT WAS PURCHASED IN THE EARLY 1900'S BY GM AND CLOSED DOWN SO THAT PEOPLE WOULD HAVE TO BUY MORE CARS FOR TRANSPORTATION AND CONSEQUENTLY GM MAKE MORE MONEY. THE FILM SHOWED THESE CLOSED DOWN TUNNELS WHERE THE SUBWAY USED TO RUN. GM HAS SUFFERED FROM VERY POOR MANAGEMENT DURING THEIR HISTORY AND THOUGHT THAT IF THEY BUILT CARS THE AMERICAN PEOPLE WOULD BUY THEM NO MATTER WHAT THEY LOOKED LIKE OR WERE AS FAR AS QUALITY. WE HAVE OWNED MANY GM CARS IN OUR 60 YEARS OF DRIVING. NO ONE EVER SENT US A QUESTIONAIRE TO FIND OUT WHAT WE MIGHT WANT ON A CAR OR IF WE WERE SATISFIED. GM ALSO MADE A DECISION 20 YEARS AGO TO GO WITH THE MORE PROFITABLE LARGE SUV'S AND PICKUPS INSTEAD OF WORKING ON MORE FUEL EFFICIENT CARS. NOW WE HAVE TO BAIL OUT THE COMPANYS FOR THEIR POOR DECISIONS AND CAN'T BUT WONDER IF IT IS JUST POURING MONEY DOWN A RAT HOLE. THERE IS NO BAILOUT FOR THE COMMON PERSON WHO HAS WORKED HIS WHOLE LIFE TO PUT A PENSION FUND TO RETIRE ON. WOULD BE NICE IF THE BANKS AND CAR COMPANIES COULD GET OVER THEIR GREED AND DO BUSIESS IN AN HONEST WAY.

ORVIN of CO @ Jan 16, 2009 15:42:31 PM

Need a gas (oil) tax!

Finally, the CEO of GM gets it! America needs a gas tax (or an oil tax, which is almost the same thing). Europe grew up years ago, and started taxing gas heavily. This greatly reduced their demand for oil over the last couple of decades. I was in Germany over the summer, and paid $9.19 a gallon for fuel. Luckily, my little Mercedes hatchback I was renting got 37-40 mpg. I don't think we need to drive up the price of gas to $9.19, but it should be high enough to get Americans focused on conserving fuel. When OPEC put the squeeze on us in the early 1980's, we responded by cutting oil usage by 30%. We can do the same thing again.

The best tax to have would be a variable oil tax (to replace the current gas tax). When the price of oil is high, the tax would go to zero. When the price of oil is low, the oil tax would go higher. Collect half the difference between a fixed value, like $120/bbl, and the current London Brent crude price. When oil is at $40/bbl, the tax would collect $40/bbl, and drive up the price of gas by about $0.90/gal or so.

This would also be the best foriegn policy we could have. We are the only nation on earth stupid enough to fight both sides of a war. And that's exactly what we did in Iraq. Our wasteful use of oil drove the price of crude up to record levels, giving Iran unprecedented wealth to spend on the Iraqi insurgency. In effect, Americans were paying Iraqi insurgents to kill American troops.

Small-minded dimwits will tell you that any tax is bad, and that the government will find some way to waste your tax dollars. So you'd rather Iran and Russia spend your money? (Even though we don't buy a drop of oil from Iran or Russia, our policy of wasting oil is putting huge amounts of money in their pockets. We are paying for hundreds of nuclear centrifuges a year for Iran, and tanks and warplanes for Russia so they can invade their neighbors. George W. Bush's failure to recognize these simple facts sets him aside as America's most incompetent president in almost a century.

chem e of FL @ Jan 15, 2009 22:52:32 PM

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Rick Newman

Rick Newman

The global economy is mysterious, even scary. Chief Business Correspondent Rick Newman connects the dots. In addition to his writing for U.S. News, Rick is the co-author of two books: Firefight: Inside the Battle to Save the Pentagon on 9/11, and Bury Us Upside Down: The Misty Pilots and the Secret Battle for the Ho Chi Minh Trail.

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